Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T16:07:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A9 0xa991…f3a2 crypto 856 markets active 0h ago coverage 26d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 26d only
✗ bot/MM pace (121 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$158 (+7%) realized +$158 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR61%break-even
Win rate62%527W / 329L
Drawdown39%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day120.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days+$7
14 days+$18
30 days+$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$86
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (121 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 246 -7.4% -16.2% 48% 48% -8.6%
≤30d 856 +5.2% -4.8% 62% 61% -6.1%
≤90d 856 +5.2% -4.8% 62% 61% -6.1%
all 856 +5.2% -4.8% 62% 61% -6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover120.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.8% 61% -6.1%
10% ← realistic here -13.9% 48% -15.1%
15% -22.2% 17% -23.3%
20% -29.9% 14% -30.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 6% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.72 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.15 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$158
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses527 / 329
Open positions0
Markets (closed)856 / 856
History coverage26d ⚠
Avg bet$3
Trades / day120.5
Drawdown39%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 856 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$14 +356%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 15 $2 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $4 +$2 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$1 -18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$4 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$8 +257%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 15 $1 +$14 +1068%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 -7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $7 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records