Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:40:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A9 0xa991…0935 sports 455 markets active 0h ago coverage 21d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 21d only
✗ bot/MM pace (148 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$175 (+0%) realized +$205 · open −$30
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate64%286W / 164L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$83per market
Trades / day148.3pace
Fees−$89est.
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$645now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$866
7 days+$1,221
14 days+$2,072
30 days−$149
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 59% +$1,288
crypto 40% −$1,946
other 2% +$469
world 0% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (148 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-5.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 102 +11.0% +0.4% 84% 27% -0.3%
≤30d 450 +4.8% -5.1% 64% 27% -9.9%
≤90d 450 +4.8% -5.1% 64% 27% -9.9%
all 450 +4.8% -5.1% 64% 27% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover148.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.1% 27% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -14.2% 19% -18.5%
15% -22.5% 14% -26.4%
20% -30.1% 11% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
58% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late +14% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
6.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$34 · ×0.56 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.97 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$645
Realized+$205
Unrealized−$30
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses286 / 164
Est. fees paid−$89
Open positions5
Markets (closed)450 / 455
History coverage21d ⚠
Avg bet$83
Trades / day148.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 5 History 450 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: O/U 1.5 Over 98¢ 100¢ $301 $307 +$6 (+2%)
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: O/U 2.5 Over 98¢ 100¢ $126 $128 +$2 (+2%)
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: O/U 0.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $84 $85 +$1 (+1%)
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: O/U 0.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $82 $83 +$1 (+1%)
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: Maghreb AS de Fès O/U 0.5 Over 99¢ 50¢ $81 $42 −$40 (-49%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 6 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Algeria to score first vs. Argentina? Jun 17 $12 −$12 -100%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $94 −$94 -100%
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $23 +$1 +3%
Austria vs. Jordan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $90 +$10 +11%
Argentina to score first vs. Algeria? Jun 17 $18 +$6 +36%
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $363 +$167 +46%
Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $301 +$13 +4%
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $151 +$83 +55%
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $603 +$27 +4%
Fortaleza EC vs. América FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 17 $151 +$2 +2%
Fortaleza EC vs. América FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 17 $84 +$1 +1%
Algeria leading at halftime? Jun 17 $22 −$21 -98%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 Jun 16 $151 −$3 -2%
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $151 +$2 +1%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $151 +$3 +2%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $151 +$3 +2%
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $151 +$13 +8%
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $151 +$18 +12%
Norway to score first vs. Iraq? Jun 16 $151 +$36 +24%
Norway leading at halftime? Jun 16 $154 +$467 +303%
France vs. Senegal: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $49 +$1 +2%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: IR Iran O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $7 +$1 +17%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 Jun 16 $151 +$5 +3%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 1.5 Jun 16 $151 +$3 +2%
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $151 +$1 +1%
Criciúma EC vs. Ceará SC: O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $83 +$1 +1%
Londrina EC vs. Avaí FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 16 $133 +$2 +1%
Londrina EC leading at halftime? Jun 16 $84 −$81 -97%
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $18 +$1 +3%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $151 +$22 +14%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $151 +$6 +4%
Belgium vs. Egypt: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $152 +$99 +65%
Belgium vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $86 +$58 +68%
Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $51 +$29 +57%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $151 +$14 +10%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $151 +$6 +4%
Sweden to score first vs. Tunisia? Jun 15 $151 +$86 +57%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $150 +$14 +10%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $151 +$66 +44%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $23 $0 +2%
Sweden vs. Tunisia: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 Jun 15 $2 +$9 +365%
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Universidad de Concepción: O/U 1.5 Jun 15 $144 +$2 +2%
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Universidad de Concepción: O/U 0.5 Jun 15 $151 +$6 +4%
CD Universidad Católica vs. CD Universidad de Concepción: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $11 $0 +3%
CD Unión La Calera vs. CF Universidad de Chile: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $151 +$2 +1%
Keflavik IF vs. FH Hafnarfjordur: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $150 +$5 +3%
Keflavik IF vs. FH Hafnarfjordur: O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $90 +$1 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $301 +$9 +3%
Germany to score first vs. Curaçao? Jun 14 $151 +$10 +7%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 98¢ $151 21m
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: Maghreb AS de Fès O/U 0 BUY Over 99¢ $81 21m
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 98¢ $151 1h
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 98¢ $126 1h
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $82 1h
RCA Zemamra vs. Raja Club Athletic: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $84 1h
Austria vs. Jordan: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 90¢ $90 11h
Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 97¢ $23 11h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 96¢ $5 14h
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 1.5 BUY Over 64¢ $151 14h
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 96¢ $151 15h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 65¢ $151 15h
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 0.5 BUY Over 98¢ $151 15h
Argentina to score first vs. Algeria? BUY Yes 73¢ $18 15h
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 97¢ $151 15h
Algeria leading at halftime? BUY Yes 14¢ $7 15h
Argentina vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 0.5 BUY Over 58¢ $94 15h
Algeria to score first vs. Argentina? BUY Yes 8¢ $12 15h
Algeria leading at halftime? BUY Yes 14¢ $14 15h
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 97¢ $151 15h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 69¢ $152 15h
Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 93¢ $151 15h
Argentina vs. Algeria: Argentina O/U 0.5 BUY Over 94¢ $151 15h
Argentina vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 74¢ $59 15h
Fortaleza EC vs. América FC: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 98¢ $151 16h
Fortaleza EC vs. América FC: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 99¢ $84 17h
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 85¢ $148 17h
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $152 17h
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $153 17h
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $153 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $644.87 · official $644.87 (match) · 3500 history records