Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T08:07:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A9 0xa97f…6c46 crypto 111 markets active 22h ago coverage 10d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (106 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$3,457 (-11%) realized −$3,457 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate44%49W / 62L
Whale WR56%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$278per market
Trades / day106.0pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,857
7 days−$4,185
14 days−$4,313
30 days−$4,313
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$4,192
weather 1% −$182
sports 0% +$71
politics 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (106 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 -0.5% -10.0% 46% 44% -22.1%
≤30d 111 -5.9% -14.9% 44% 42% -22.4%
≤90d 111 -5.9% -14.9% 44% 42% -22.4%
all 111 -5.9% -14.9% 44% 42% -22.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover106.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 42% -22.4%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 40% -29.8%
15% -30.5% 34% -36.6%
20% -37.3% 29% -42.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -15% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -15% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 56% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -17% → late +5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$212 vs −$237 · ×0.89 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,457
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses49 / 62
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)111 / 111
History coverage10d
Avg bet$278
Trades / day106.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 111 Trades
no open positions (48 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $28 +$24 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$19 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$99 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $665 −$665 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $600 −$600 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $618 +$87 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $362 +$215 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $161 +$48 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $238 +$118 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $156 −$150 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $123 −$118 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $256 +$71 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $377 −$370 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $216 +$163 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $258 −$250 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $260 +$18 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $243 +$213 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $395 −$385 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $180 −$172 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $127 −$127 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $35 −$33 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $297 +$349 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$48 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $295 +$129 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $157 −$50 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $104 +$55 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $58 −$56 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$27 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $850 −$783 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $530 +$320 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $372 +$168 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $199 +$173 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$22 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $349 +$311 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $231 −$224 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $139 +$90 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $679 −$672 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $364 +$145 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $666 −$300 -45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $21 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $26 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $19 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $15 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $6 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $28 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $11 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $7 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $15 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $7 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $8 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $1 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $25 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $15 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $40 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $40 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $22 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $5 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $104 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1169 history records