trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -5.7% | -14.6% | 65% | 41% | -2.7% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -5.7% | -14.6% | 65% | 41% | -2.7% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -5.7% | -14.6% | 65% | 41% | -2.7% |
| all | 17 | -5.7% | -14.6% | 65% | 41% | -2.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -14.6% | 41% | -2.7% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -22.8% | 29% | -12.0% |
| 15% | -30.3% | 18% | -20.5% |
| 20% | -37.1% | 12% | -28.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Sri Lanka | New Zealand | 93¢ | 29¢ | $39 | $12 | −$27 (-69%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-5%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $2 | $2 | +$1 (+34%) |
| ICC T20 World Cup, Women: England vs Ireland | Ireland | 5¢ | 5¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+0%) |
| SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-32%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | Jun 15 | $26 | −$4 | -16% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET | Jun 15 | $3 | $0 | +4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | Jun 15 | $3 | +$1 | +22% |
| T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka | Jun 15 | $4 | $0 | +8% |
| ICC T20 World Cup, Women: India vs Pakistan | Jun 14 | $7 | +$4 | +62% |
| Will Bret Johnsen be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX' | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Gwynne Shotwell be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating Spac | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia | Jun 14 | $16 | +$3 | +16% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| T20 Series West Indies vs Sri lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka | Jun 14 | $22 | +$3 | +15% |
| ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan | Jun 13 | $26 | +$1 | +4% |
| ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +28% |
| Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe | Jun 12 | $6 | +$3 | +53% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET | Jun 12 | $2 | −$1 | -34% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET | Jun 12 | $4 | +$2 | +40% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +2% |