Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:49:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa978…b643
weather · 566 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$41 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$37 · open +$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$157
Realized+$37
Unrealized+$5
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses264 / 194
Open positions108
Markets (closed)458 / 566
History coverage48d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day32.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 108 History 458 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$72
7 days+$69
14 days+$68
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 12? Yes 23¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+335%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 12? Yes 36¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+178%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? Yes 27¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+270%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12? Yes 28¢ 100¢ $1 $5 +$4 (+257%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 13? Yes 50¢ 43¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-13%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? Yes 26¢ 84¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+223%)
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? Yes 24¢ 41¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+74%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 13? Yes 2¢ 7¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+291%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 13? Yes 32¢ 76¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+139%)
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13? Yes 69¢ 72¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 30°C on June 13? Yes 9¢ 26¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+194%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on June 13? Yes 13¢ 37¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+185%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 13? Yes 37¢ 56¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+53%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13? Yes 50¢ 52¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 13? Yes 7¢ 23¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+228%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 13? Yes 1¢ 3¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+150%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 13? Yes 40¢ 50¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+24%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on June 13? Yes 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 13? Yes 14¢ 15¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 13? Yes 33¢ 44¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+32%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 13? Yes 43¢ 44¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 13? Yes 41¢ 42¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? Yes 43¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 13? Yes 6¢ 13¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+101%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +149%
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$5 +465%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$7 +585%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +222%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$12 +1095%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +91%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +222%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +162%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +116%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$7 +585%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +193%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +202%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$4 +319%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +222%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$11 +996%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +155%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$8 +358%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +143%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 +$4 +245%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +126%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 11? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +95%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 11? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +177%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $3 −$2 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$41
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 10m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 10m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 10m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 10m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 11m
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 14m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 13? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 46m
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 13? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 46m
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 46m
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 13? BUY Yes 19¢ $0 46m
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 12¢ $0 49m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 55m
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 40°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 55m
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 13? BUY Yes 41¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 13? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 13? BUY Yes 12¢ $0 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 13? BUY Yes 40¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 13? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 13? BUY Yes 18¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on June 13? BUY Yes 48¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 13? BUY Yes 33¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13? BUY Yes 50¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 13? BUY Yes 37¢ $2 1h
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on June 13? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 145 -4.3% -13.5% 22% 22% -13.3%
≤30d 290 -14.0% -22.2% 34% 14% -16.6%
≤90d 458 -8.2% -17.0% 58% 9% -11.1%
all 458 -8.2% -17.0% 58% 9% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 9% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 9% -19.6%
15% -32.2% 9% -27.4%
20% -38.8% 9% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $156.72 · official $156.66 (match) · 1780 history records