Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:41:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa974…ef79
sports · 214 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$118,005 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$168,694 · open +$50,689
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$74,783
Realized−$168,694
Unrealized+$50,689
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses88 / 233
Whale WR (big bets)32%
Est. fees paid−$5,921
Open positions6
Markets (closed)321 / 214
History coverage52d
Avg bet$1,623
Trades / day63.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 321 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$162,810
7 days−$156,130
14 days−$164,817
30 days−$172,354
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 16¢ 80¢ $12,019 $59,256 +$47,237 (+393%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No 55¢ 57¢ $5,440 $5,687 +$246 (+5%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 40¢ 100¢ $2,171 $5,394 +$3,223 (+148%)
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes 36¢ 36¢ $2,186 $2,234 +$48 (+2%)
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Türkiye 30¢ 32¢ $1,500 $1,625 +$125 (+8%)
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $777 $586 −$191 (-25%)
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Washington Nationals 34¢ 0¢ $169 $0 −$169 (-100%)
Mariners vs. Phillies Mariners 35¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 Over 46¢ 0¢ $1,376 $0 −$1,376 (-100%)
Will Solana reach $240 in September? No 55¢ 0¢ $4,255 $0 −$4,255 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $1,560 $0 −$1,560 (-100%)
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) New York Mets 41¢ 0¢ $1,303 $0 −$1,303 (-100%)
Mets vs. Tigers: O/U 8.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $750 $0 −$750 (-100%)
Astros vs. Tigers Astros 40¢ 0¢ $853 $0 −$853 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $116K on August 9 at 5PM ET? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins No 53¢ 0¢ $2,650 $0 −$2,650 (-100%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels No 51¢ 0¢ $1,530 $0 −$1,530 (-100%)
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 4.5 Under 21¢ 0¢ $840 $0 −$840 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $2,400 $0 −$2,400 (-100%)
Mets vs. Brewers Mets 42¢ 0¢ $2,110 $0 −$2,110 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Under 39¢ 0¢ $1,950 $0 −$1,950 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Utah: O/U 4.5 Under 23¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Avalanche vs. Wild Wild 44¢ 0¢ $1,100 $0 −$1,100 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds Washington Nationals 21¢ 0¢ $569 $0 −$569 (-100%)
Will Ethereum reach $4600 August 11–17? No 62¢ 0¢ $1,845 $0 −$1,845 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mariners vs. Phillies Jun 14 $0 −$2,691 -4484684%
Will Solana reach $240 in September? Jun 14 $4,255 −$4,255 -100%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 14 $1,303 −$1,303 -100%
Mets vs. Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 14 $750 −$750 -100%
Astros vs. Tigers Jun 14 $853 −$853 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $115K and $116K on August 9 at 5P Jun 14 $98 −$98 -100%
Mets vs. Brewers Jun 14 $2,110 −$2,110 -100%
Will Ethereum reach $4600 August 11–17? Jun 14 $1,845 −$1,845 -100%
Virginia Tech vs. South Carolina Jun 14 $320 −$320 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 14 $1,388 −$1,388 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Titans vs. Falcons Jun 14 $250 −$250 -100%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 14 $2,400 −$2,400 -100%
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 14 $1,765 −$1,765 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Los Jun 14 $2,700 −$2,700 -100%
Vikings vs. Titans Jun 14 $127 −$127 -100%
Nationals vs. Yankees: O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $3,402 −$3,402 -100%
Giants vs. Rockies: O/U 11.5 Jun 14 $1,996 −$1,996 -100%
Packers vs. Lions Jun 14 $1,810 −$1,810 -100%
Spread: North Carolina State Wolfpack (-1.5) Jun 14 $2,037 −$1,999 -98%
Bengals vs. Commanders Jun 14 $381 −$381 -100%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Jun 14 $1,693 −$1,693 -100%
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $720 −$720 -100%
Spread: Sabres (-1.5) Jun 14 $594 −$594 -100%
Braves vs. Phillies: O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $1,964 −$1,964 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $108K August 25–31? Jun 14 $893 −$893 -100%
Cubs vs. Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $2,056 −$2,045 -100%
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-5.5) Jun 14 $2,350 −$2,350 -100%
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship? Jun 14 $182 −$182 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Mets vs. Braves Jun 14 $940 −$940 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Phillies vs. Rangers Jun 14 $230 −$230 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $2,580 −$2,580 -100%
NRFI: New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 14 $3,320 −$3,320 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1,350 −$1,350 -100%
New York Mets vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 14 $3,311 −$3,311 -100%
Angels vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $1,668 −$1,668 -100%
Nationals vs. Yankees Jun 14 $227 −$227 -100%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Jun 14 $3,050 −$3,050 -100%
Falcons vs. Cowboys Jun 14 $210 −$210 -100%
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) Jun 14 $3,700 −$3,700 -100%
Spread: Eagles (-4.5) Jun 14 $1,230 −$1,230 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 14 $191 −$191 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 14 $3,630 −$3,630 -100%
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix? Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting? Jun 14 $5,270 −$5,270 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% +$59,427
other 4% +$3,105
politics 2% +$294
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $1 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $1 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $3 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) SELL Brazil 10¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-36.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 -79.5% -81.4% 4% 4% -72.8%
≤30d 195 -50.8% -55.5% 18% 18% -55.6%
≤90d 321 -29.2% -36.0% 27% 27% -38.3%
all 321 -29.2% -36.0% 27% 27% -38.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.0% 27% -38.3%
10% -42.1% 27% -44.2%
15% ← realistic here -47.7% 26% -49.6%
20% -52.8% 26% -54.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $74,782.64 · official $74,782.64 (match) · 3500 history records