trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | +42.0% | +28.5% | 75% | 75% | +82.2% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -2.7% | -12.0% | 64% | 50% | -2.0% |
| all | 16 | -14.9% | -23.0% | 56% | 44% | -5.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.0% | 44% | -5.1% |
| 10% | -30.4% | 38% | -14.2% |
| 15% | -37.1% | 25% | -22.5% |
| 20% | -43.3% | 25% | -30.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 08 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 08 | $214 | +$136 | +64% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | May 29 | $24 | +$5 | +22% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 26 | $173 | +$315 | +182% |
| Will gas hit (High) $4.15 by April 30? | Apr 09 | $3 | +$1 | +24% |
| Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026? | Apr 08 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Military action against Iran ends by April 30, 2026? | Apr 08 | $71 | −$71 | -100% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | Apr 08 | $315 | −$315 | -100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 05 | $15 | +$11 | +72% |
| Crude Oil all time high by April 30? | Apr 01 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Apr 01 | $15 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March? | Apr 01 | $25 | +$17 | +69% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | Mar 22 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Iran strike Israel on March 10? | Mar 22 | $10 | +$1 | +15% |
| Crude Oil all time high by March 31? | Mar 12 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March? | Mar 09 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |