trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 33% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 31 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 48% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | May 26 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 26 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 26 | $78 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 26 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | May 25 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 25 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | May 24 | $37 | $0 | -1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 21 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 16 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election? | Jul 04 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan? | Jun 25 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 16–23? | May 24 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? | May 05 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | May 05 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government? | Apr 29 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2600 in April? | Apr 05 | $3 | $0 | -5% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 04 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government? | Apr 03 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31? | Apr 02 | $14 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Solana dip to $110 in March? | Mar 28 | $14 | −$1 | -5% |
| Ye divorce before April? | Mar 27 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference? | Mar 27 | $5 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | Mar 24 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Mar 19 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP? | Mar 16 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $93000 on Mar 14? | Mar 15 | $16 | −$1 | -7% |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday? | Mar 12 | $16 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 64°F or higher on March 10? | Mar 12 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Another commercial airline evacuation before March? | Mar 06 | $15 | +$1 | +10% |
| Cavaliers vs. Bulls | Mar 03 | $15 | −$1 | -6% |