Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:20:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa967…79a5
crypto · 38 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$649 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$543 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$543
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses32 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)38 / 38
History coverage538d
Avg bet$201
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 0 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $204 +$75 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $128 +$56 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $116 −$6 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $126 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $117 +$28 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $56 +$26 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $404 −$404 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $76 +$10 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $402 +$32 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $403 +$42 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $719 −$204 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $480 +$72 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $303 +$49 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $426 +$22 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET Jun 14 $279 +$24 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $402 +$36 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $151 +$14 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET Jun 14 $126 +$58 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$54 +104%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31? Mar 16 $311 +$165 +53%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31? Mar 16 $140 +$45 +32%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? Mar 16 $289 +$284 +98%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31? Feb 17 $140 +$13 +9%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31? Feb 17 $140 +$6 +4%
Will Elon tweet 300-324 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $20 −$1 -4%
Will Elon tweet 275-299 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $20 +$3 +14%
Will Elon tweet 250-274 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $20 +$2 +12%
Will Elon tweet less than 250 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $290 −$8 -3%
Will Elon tweet 325-349 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $10 $0 +4%
Will Elon tweet 350-374 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $10 $0 +5%
Will Elon tweet 375-399 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $10 $0 +2%
Will Elon tweet 400-424 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $10 $0 +2%
Will Elon tweet 425-449 times Dec 27-Jan 3? Jan 01 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum all time high by January 31? Jan 01 $92 −$2 -2%
Will Bitcoin hit $100k again in 2024? Dec 31 $462 +$7 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December? Dec 31 $100 +$8 +8%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December? Dec 31 $120 +$29 +24%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in December? Dec 31 $461 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$545
other 5% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $25 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $26 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $26 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $25 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $25 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $25 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $25 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $25 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $26 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)+3.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 19 +14.1% +3.2% 84% 47% -9.7%
≤30d 19 +14.1% +3.2% 84% 47% -9.7%
≤90d 19 +14.1% +3.2% 84% 47% -9.7%
all 38 +13.9% +3.1% 84% 39% -3.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +3.1% 39% -3.1%
10% -6.8% 26% -12.4%
15% -15.8% 18% -20.8%
20% -24.0% 8% -28.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 187 history records