trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$2 | +38% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$9 | +172% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $3 | +$1 | +44% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +38.5% | +25.3% | 75% | 75% | +50.2% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +38.5% | +25.3% | 75% | 75% | +50.2% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +38.5% | +25.3% | 75% | 75% | +50.2% |
| all | 4 | +38.5% | +25.3% | 75% | 75% | +50.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +25.3% | 75% | +50.2% |
| 10% | +13.3% | 75% | +35.8% |
| 15% | +2.3% | 75% | +22.7% |
| 20% | -7.7% | 25% | +10.7% |