Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:45:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa95b…0d14
crypto · 128 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10,115 -55%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,140 · open +$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$99
Realized−$10,140
Unrealized+$25
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses60 / 133
Whale WR (big bets)15%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)193 / 128
History coverage6d
Avg bet$143
Trades / day608.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 193 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,000
7 days−$10,140
14 days−$10,140
30 days−$10,140
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 60¢ 80¢ $74 $99 +$25 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $121 $0 −$121 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $127 $0 −$127 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $123 $0 −$123 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Sentinels 70¢ 0¢ $621 $0 −$621 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $79 $0 −$79 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffs Eintracht Spandau 47¢ 0¢ $688 $0 −$688 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $526 $0 −$526 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 34¢ 0¢ $356 $0 −$356 (-100%)
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Fluxo W7M 45¢ 0¢ $257 $0 −$257 (-100%)
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner BIG 62¢ 0¢ $251 $0 −$251 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $166 $0 −$166 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $92 −$92 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $58 −$58 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $127 −$127 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $123 −$123 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $621 −$621 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $79 −$79 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Pl Jun 14 $688 −$688 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $356 −$356 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs Jun 14 $257 −$257 -100%
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $251 −$251 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $185 −$185 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $123 −$123 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $323 −$323 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs G2 NORD - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $204 −$204 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $164 −$164 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $78 −$78 -100%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs ex-HEROIC (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $57 −$57 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $207 −$207 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $591 −$591 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 14 $580 −$580 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualif Jun 14 $266 −$266 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs BIG (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division P Jun 14 $288 −$288 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $180 −$180 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $78 −$78 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $285 −$285 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $208 −$208 -100%
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 14 $249 −$249 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? Jun 14 $331 −$331 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $327 −$327 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $87 −$87 -100%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 14 $1,142 −$1,142 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 14 $31 −$31 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,022
other 0% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $28 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $19 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $19 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $11 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $17 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $18 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $23 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $21 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $30 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $32 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $31 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $24 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $121 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $11 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-31.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 193 -24.0% -31.2% 31% 27% -39.9%
≤30d 193 -24.0% -31.2% 31% 27% -39.9%
≤90d 193 -24.0% -31.2% 31% 27% -39.9%
all 193 -24.0% -31.2% 31% 27% -39.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover608.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.2% 27% -39.9%
10% ← realistic here -37.8% 25% -45.6%
15% -43.8% 23% -50.9%
20% -49.3% 20% -55.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $98.52 · official $98.52 (match) · 3500 history records