Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:44:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa957…1b62
crypto · 251 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$608 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$608 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$608
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses109 / 142
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)251 / 251
History coverage16d
Avg bet$30
Trades / day57.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 251 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$128
7 days−$360
14 days−$485
30 days−$608
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$26 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $66 −$11 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$12 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$16 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$7 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $37 −$8 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$5 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$14 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $26 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$9 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$10 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$9 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$16 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$3 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $40 +$29 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$6 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $37 −$17 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $36 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 11 $22 +$9 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $14 −$9 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$13 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$18 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $23 −$13 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$8 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $66 −$45 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $26 +$10 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $42 −$24 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $31 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $36 +$26 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $47 −$45 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 10 $12 −$6 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $19 −$12 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$11 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$5 -26%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$595
sports 0% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $11 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $16 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 59¢ $34 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $31 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $15 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $21 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $4 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $7 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $10 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $11 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $17 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $16 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $15 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $16 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $3 57m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-25.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 200 -11.6% -20.0% 49% 42% -12.2%
≤30d 251 -17.6% -25.4% 43% 37% -15.8%
≤90d 251 -17.6% -25.4% 43% 37% -15.8%
all 251 -17.6% -25.4% 43% 37% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.4% 37% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -32.6% 31% -23.8%
15% -39.1% 25% -31.2%
20% -45.1% 16% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 955 history records