Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:27:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa94c…0150
crypto · 307 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$17 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses195 / 112
Open positions0
Markets (closed)307 / 307
History coverage64d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day5.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 307 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$445
7 days−$359
14 days−$288
30 days−$86
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $3 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $4 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 40h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +63%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 160 -42.8% -48.2% 34% 34% -52.0%
≤30d 261 -3.8% -13.0% 59% 59% -15.9%
≤90d 307 +1.9% -7.8% 64% 63% -10.6%
all 307 +1.9% -7.8% 64% 63% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.8% 63% -10.6%
10% -16.6% 63% -19.2%
15% -24.7% 61% -27.0%
20% -32.1% 45% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 651 history records