Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:55:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa934…38cc
crypto · 1692 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$78 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$78 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$78
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1523 / 171
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1694 / 1692
History coverage17d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day118.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1694 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$42
14 days−$80
30 days−$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $0 −$3 -1301%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$67
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 662 -0.9% -10.3% 86% 1% -10.6%
≤30d 1694 -0.5% -10.0% 90% 1% -10.2%
≤90d 1694 -0.5% -10.0% 90% 1% -10.2%
all 1694 -0.5% -10.0% 90% 1% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover118.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 1% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 0% -18.8%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.6%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records