Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:15:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa927…8d9f
sports · 131 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$879 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$212,883 · open −$4,195
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13,405
Realized−$212,883
Unrealized−$4,195
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses71 / 140
Whale WR (big bets)47%
Est. fees paid−$3,427
Open positions13
Markets (closed)211 / 131
History coverage4d
Avg bet$2,351
Trades / day885.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 13 History 211 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$198,008
7 days−$212,883
14 days−$212,883
30 days−$212,883
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 66¢ 42¢ $5,500 $3,459 −$2,042 (-37%)
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Alliance 55¢ 94¢ $1,405 $2,371 +$966 (+69%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 58¢ 62¢ $1,515 $1,601 +$86 (+6%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner Metizport 66¢ 100¢ $973 $1,464 +$491 (+51%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Team Falcons (+1.5) Team Falcons 70¢ 69¢ $1,473 $1,462 −$10 (-1%)
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $1,202 $1,096 −$107 (-9%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 59¢ 36¢ $1,770 $1,095 −$675 (-38%)
Will Aurora make a roster change before July? Yes 39¢ 79¢ $342 $685 +$343 (+100%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Noir Esports - Game 1 Winner Noir Esports 21¢ 50¢ $42 $99 +$57 (+136%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 28¢ 40¢ $39 $56 +$17 (+43%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 55¢ 0¢ $1,779 $16 −$1,763 (-99%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) TheMongolz 37¢ 0¢ $750 $1 −$749 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 42¢ 0¢ $811 $1 −$810 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group C RUSTEC 5¢ 0¢ $6,012 $0 −$6,012 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 58¢ 0¢ $4,360 $0 −$4,360 (-100%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage Falcons Esport 60¢ 0¢ $548 $0 −$548 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team - Map 2 Winner WW Team 66¢ 0¢ $2,673 $0 −$2,673 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs UNiTY esports 66¢ 0¢ $1,186 $0 −$1,186 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner Bushido Wildcats 70¢ 0¢ $1,835 $0 −$1,835 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner Phantom 55¢ 0¢ $2,968 $0 −$2,968 (-100%)
Map Handicap: RUST (-1.5) vs against All authority (+1.5) RUSTEC 68¢ 0¢ $347 $0 −$347 (-100%)
Valorant: University War vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular Season BESTIA 64¢ 0¢ $4,667 $0 −$4,667 (-100%)
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Under 60¢ 0¢ $1,087 $0 −$1,087 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner Abyssal 66¢ 0¢ $2,019 $0 −$2,019 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Lavked 49¢ 0¢ $3,301 $0 −$3,301 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 14 $6,012 −$6,806 -113%
Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Europe MENA Jun 14 $548 −$542 -99%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs WW Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $2,673 −$2,673 -100%
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,835 −$1,835 -100%
Counter-Strike: Young Ninjas vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $2,968 −$2,968 -100%
Map Handicap: RUST (-1.5) vs against All authority (+1.5) Jun 14 $347 −$347 -100%
Valorant: University War vs BESTIA (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Re Jun 14 $4,667 −$4,667 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group St Jun 14 $3,301 −$3,301 -100%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODW Jun 14 $2,044 −$2,044 -100%
Map Handicap: PAR (-1.5) vs eSuba (+1.5) Jun 14 $75 −$75 -100%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Chicken Coop Esports (BO3) - FRAG TAP Rel Jun 14 $362 −$362 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challen Jun 14 $8,993 −$8,993 -100%
Valorant: University War vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $792 −$792 -100%
Map Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (+1.5) Jun 14 $579 −$579 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lazer Cats - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $3,694 −$3,694 -100%
Map Handicap: SRG (-1.5) vs FlyQuest RED (+1.5) Jun 14 $1,971 −$1,971 -100%
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,075 −$1,075 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $5,462 −$5,462 -100%
Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Jun 14 $1,443 −$1,443 -100%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winn Jun 14 $3,243 −$3,243 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $3,380 −$3,380 -100%
Map Handicap: UNiTY (-1.5) vs LPH Gaming (+1.5) Jun 14 $1,857 −$1,857 -100%
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Clutchain - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,724 −$1,724 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $2,999 −$2,999 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs AM Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,389 −$1,389 -100%
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,659 −$1,659 -100%
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Play Jun 14 $823 −$823 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $379 −$379 -100%
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $2,050 −$2,050 -100%
Map Handicap: UNiTY (-1.5) vs ENCE (+1.5) Jun 14 $551 −$551 -100%
Valorant: SwimTrek Blue vs Shopify Rebellion Gold (BO5) - VCT Game Cha Jun 14 $831 −$831 -100%
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $232 −$232 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Map Handicap: MSC (-1.5) vs AaB Bulls (+1.5) Jun 14 $738 −$738 -100%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Chicken Coop Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $772 −$772 -100%
Map Handicap: TNC (-1.5) vs Lazer Cats (+1.5) Jun 14 $158 −$158 -100%
Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5) Jun 14 $1,469 −$1,469 -100%
Counter-Strike: CHAOS vs WRAITH PCIFIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $347 −$347 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $403 −$403 -100%
Counter-Strike: ENCE vs Entropy - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,605 −$1,605 -100%
Counter-Strike: LPH Gaming vs UNiTY esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $2,194 −$2,194 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $517 −$517 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 14 $2,943 −$2,943 -100%
Valorant: Riddle vs Insomnia (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage Jun 14 $3,588 −$3,588 -100%
LoL: Crusaders vs Bubliki - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $173 −$173 -100%
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Jun 14 $5,185 −$5,185 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $703 −$703 -100%
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play- Jun 14 $340 −$340 -100%
Map Handicap: ENCE (-1.5) vs Entropy (+1.5) Jun 14 $2,776 −$2,776 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$8,226
other 2% −$2,102
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 28¢ $39 35m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 55¢ $56 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 55¢ $322 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 55¢ $250 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 55¢ $165 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 55¢ $18 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 55¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 55¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 56¢ $966 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 41¢ $203 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 41¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 41¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 41¢ $11 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 41¢ $33 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 41¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 41¢ $27 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 41¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 41¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY TheMongolz 42¢ $533 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner BUY Metizport 69¢ $387 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner BUY Metizport 69¢ $120 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner BUY Metizport 69¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Alliance 58¢ $6 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner BUY Metizport 67¢ $177 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner BUY Metizport 64¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner BUY Metizport 64¢ $8 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner BUY Metizport 64¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner BUY Metizport 64¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner BUY Metizport 64¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 2 Winner BUY Metizport 62¢ $269 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-52.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 211 -47.9% -52.9% 34% 26% -47.3%
≤30d 211 -47.9% -52.9% 34% 26% -47.3%
≤90d 211 -47.9% -52.9% 34% 26% -47.3%
all 211 -47.9% -52.9% 34% 26% -47.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover885.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -52.9% 26% -47.3%
10% -57.4% 21% -52.4%
15% ← realistic here -61.5% 16% -57.0%
20% -65.3% 13% -61.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13,405.36 · official $14,627.35 · 3500 history records