Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:08:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A9
0xa923…aedc
other · 4 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$21 -99%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage82d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit25%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Prem Mar 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 72% −$15
sports 28% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 11¢ $7 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 22¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 1h
Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Prem BUY Yes 6¢ $6 81d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 4 history records