trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | No | 93¢ | 72¢ | $479 | $371 | −$108 (-23%) |
| Game 1: Any Player Rampage? | No | 96¢ | 0¢ | $451 | $0 | −$451 (-100%) |
| Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MINLATE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage | MINLATE | 47¢ | 0¢ | $89 | $0 | −$89 (-100%) |
| Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-1.5) | Al Okhdood SC | 4¢ | 0¢ | $40 | $0 | −$40 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? | Jun 13 | $482 | $0 | +0% |
| Game 1: Any Player Rampage? | Jun 10 | $452 | −$451 | -100% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 10 | $458 | −$6 | -1% |
| Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Fukushima United FC: O/U 5.5 | Jun 02 | $466 | +$14 | +3% |
| Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by June 30? | Jun 01 | $466 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 24 | $8 | $0 | -3% |
| Spread: Al Okhdood SC (-1.5) | Apr 30 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Apr 30 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Spread: Kayserispor (-2.5) | Apr 21 | $396 | +$18 | +5% |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? | Apr 20 | $394 | +$2 | +0% |
| Spread: Konyaspor (-2.5) | Apr 20 | $365 | +$23 | +6% |
| Will Japan send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 202 | Apr 17 | $358 | $0 | +0% |
| Counter-Strike: ALGO Esports vs MINLATE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series G | Mar 25 | $89 | −$89 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -33.8% | -40.1% | 0% | 0% | -39.2% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -16.9% | -24.8% | 17% | 0% | -26.8% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -22.3% | -29.7% | 38% | 0% | -21.5% |
| all | 13 | -22.3% | -29.7% | 38% | 0% | -21.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -29.7% | 0% | -21.5% |
| 10% | -36.4% | 0% | -29.0% |
| 15% | -42.6% | 0% | -35.9% |
| 20% | -48.2% | 0% | -42.2% |