trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 29% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 18 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 33% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 18 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 33% | 0% | -9.1% |
| all | 26 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 42% | 4% | -8.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.9% | 4% | -8.9% |
| 10% | -17.6% | 0% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 0% | -25.6% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 0% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Yes | 4¢ | 1¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-72%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 20 | $35 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $69 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $12 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $39 | $0 | -1% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $17 | −$1 | -4% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 12 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 08 | $32 | +$3 | +8% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 07 | $70 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 07 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 06 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 04 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 04 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 04 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 03 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150K in June? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok? | Jun 26 | $9 | $0 | +4% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 22 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | May 06 | $2 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 06 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 19 | $9 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? | Mar 28 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| St. John's vs. DePaul | Mar 20 | $10 | +$2 | +16% |