Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:46:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa8f7…625b
crypto · 780 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$179 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$179 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$179
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses660 / 119
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)779 / 780
History coverage69d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day16.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 1 History 779 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$34
14 days−$140
30 days−$174
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$110
other 17% −$54
sports 1% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $7 6m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 13m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 17m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 21m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 22m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 23m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 27m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 36m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 47m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 56m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 521 -1.6% -11.0% 94% 2% -10.3%
≤30d 778 -4.5% -13.6% 85% 10% -12.3%
≤90d 779 -4.6% -13.7% 85% 10% -12.4%
all 779 -4.6% -13.7% 85% 10% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.7% 10% -12.4%
10% -22.0% 9% -20.7%
15% -29.5% 8% -28.4%
20% -36.4% 4% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.96 · official $6.89 (match) · 1886 history records