trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -3.1% | -12.3% | 0% | 0% | -11.2% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 45% | 9% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 45% | 9% | -9.0% |
| all | 29 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 52% | 3% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 3% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 0% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 0% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 18 | $9 | $0 | -3% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 18 | $13 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 26 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 25 | $43 | +$3 | +7% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 25 | $9 | +$1 | +12% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $32 | −$1 | -3% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 24 | $23 | −$1 | -2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 24 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 23 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 23 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Rumble buy TikTok? | Dec 11 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30? | Dec 11 | $11 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 26 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jordan Spieth win the 2025 Memorial Tournament? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in May? | May 18 | $1 | $0 | -15% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May? | May 17 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Susan Crawford win by 10% or more? | May 17 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Hong Joon-pyo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 18 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 16 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 15 | $7 | $0 | -3% |
| Will TikTok be banned again before May? | Apr 14 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Rudy Giuliani in his first 100 days? | Apr 13 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will egg prices be between $5.50 and $5.75 in March? | Apr 07 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 07 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 25 | $11 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump say 'unemployment' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 06 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Trump say 'Epstein' during the 2025 State of the Union? | Mar 04 | $15 | $0 | -0% |