Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:31:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa8dd…e770
crypto · 110 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,442 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,443 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$246
Realized−$3,443
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses46 / 302
Open positions1
Markets (closed)348 / 110
Avg bet$107
Trades / day802.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 348 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,233
7 days−$3,442
14 days−$3,442
30 days−$3,442
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 70¢ 68¢ $70 $68 −$3 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $35 $53 +$18 (+53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 57¢ 100¢ $29 $51 +$22 (+74%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $27 $49 +$21 (+78%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 32¢ 32¢ $25 $26 +$1 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$129
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $16 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $16 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $19 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-71.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 348 -68.3% -71.3% 13% 4% -30.2%
≤30d 348 -68.3% -71.3% 13% 4% -30.2%
≤90d 348 -68.3% -71.3% 13% 4% -30.2%
all 348 -68.3% -71.3% 13% 4% -30.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover802.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -71.3% 4% -30.2%
10% ← realistic here -74.0% 2% -36.9%
15% -76.5% 1% -43.0%
20% -78.8% 1% -48.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $246.32 · official $242.42 · 3500 history records