trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | +17.5% | +6.3% | 50% | 50% | +0.8% |
| ≤30d | 17 | +19.7% | +8.3% | 53% | 53% | -1.8% |
| ≤90d | 17 | +19.7% | +8.3% | 53% | 53% | -1.8% |
| all | 23 | +3.0% | -6.8% | 43% | 43% | -5.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.8% | 43% | -5.8% |
| 10% | -15.7% | 43% | -14.8% |
| 15% | -23.9% | 43% | -23.0% |
| 20% | -31.3% | 35% | -30.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folarin Balogun: 1+ goals | Yes | 41¢ | 21¢ | $25 | $13 | −$12 (-49%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $186 | −$10 | -6% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Jun 18 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $26 | −$2 | -7% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $41 | −$40 | -99% |
| Harry Kane: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $41 | +$50 | +124% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5 | Jun 17 | $41 | +$50 | +123% |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Jun 17 | $51 | −$22 | -44% |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Jun 16 | $39 | +$41 | +105% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $41 | +$32 | +79% |
| France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $41 | +$39 | +97% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $43 | −$43 | -99% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $30 | +$24 | +79% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $30 | +$29 | +94% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $29 | +$12 | +41% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $59 | −$58 | -98% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Jun 08 | $24 | +$36 | +148% |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Jan 25 | $15 | +$7 | +49% |
| Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO? | Jan 24 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 24 | $33 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Jan 19 | $10 | −$6 | -55% |
| Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? | Jan 19 | $20 | −$11 | -55% |
| Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 05 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |