Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:54:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa8d8…0d5a
crypto · 158 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$123 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$119 · open −$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$119
Unrealized−$4
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses75 / 82
Open positions1
Markets (closed)157 / 158
History coverage4d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day70.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 157 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$62
7 days−$119
14 days−$119
30 days−$119
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 54¢ 6¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-90%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +63%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +92%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +89%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +89%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +73%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +77%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +65%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +66%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +80%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$6 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +84%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$8 +77%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$7 +70%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$123
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $8 55m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $10 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $4 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $10 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $9 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-21.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 157 -12.7% -21.0% 48% 48% -21.2%
≤30d 157 -12.7% -21.0% 48% 48% -21.2%
≤90d 157 -12.7% -21.0% 48% 48% -21.2%
all 157 -12.7% -21.0% 48% 48% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.0% 48% -21.2%
10% ← realistic here -28.5% 48% -28.8%
15% -35.4% 48% -35.7%
20% -41.8% 47% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.51 · official $0.97 (match) · 302 history records