Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:40:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa8cc…41a9
crypto · 230 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,731 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,670 · open −$60
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,977
Realized−$1,670
Unrealized−$60
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses101 / 128
Whale WR (big bets)32%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)229 / 230
History coverage1d
Avg bet$339
Trades / day3274.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 229 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,670
7 days−$1,670
14 days−$1,670
30 days−$1,670
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $506 $839 +$332 (+66%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $228 $547 +$319 (+140%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $295 $463 +$168 (+57%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 77¢ 100¢ $341 $441 +$99 (+29%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $301 $432 +$132 (+44%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 70¢ 90¢ $320 $410 +$90 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $240 $383 +$144 (+60%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $239 $353 +$113 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 75¢ 100¢ $48 $64 +$16 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 24¢ 10¢ $106 $46 −$60 (-57%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $86 $0 −$86 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $103 $0 −$103 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $171 $0 −$171 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $127 $0 −$127 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $326 $0 −$326 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $331 $0 −$331 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $859 −$326 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $369 −$120 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $351 −$103 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $435 −$86 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $58 −$9 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $440 −$127 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $574 −$331 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $433 +$23 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $628 +$13 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $251 +$10 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $657 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $321 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $228 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $317 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $466 −$13 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $479 −$171 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1,003 −$14 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $306 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $346 −$5 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $224 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $699 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $617 −$5 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $261 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $908 −$19 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $765 +$20 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $84 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $142 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $330 −$5 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $631 +$15 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $316 +$9 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $285 −$7 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $685 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $771 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $493 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $172 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $709 −$19 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $188 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $624 −$6 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $491 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $358 −$2 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $216 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $336 +$5 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $671 −$31 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $722 −$13 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $337 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $352 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $156 −$5 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $338 +$47 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,731
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $44 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $46 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $13 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $39 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $9 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $33 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $15 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $46 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $32 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $18 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $30 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $19 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $29 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $18 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $14 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $6 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $33 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $19 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $20 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $32 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $24 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $37 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $27 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $29 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 229 -2.7% -12.0% 44% 6% -11.5%
≤30d 229 -2.7% -12.0% 44% 6% -11.5%
≤90d 229 -2.7% -12.0% 44% 6% -11.5%
all 229 -2.7% -12.0% 44% 6% -11.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3274.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 6% -11.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 2% -20.0%
15% -28.1% 1% -27.7%
20% -35.2% 0% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,976.87 · official $3,971.81 (match) · 3500 history records