trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? | Yes | 39¢ | 0¢ | $944 | $0 | −$944 (-100%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-04? | Yes | 77¢ | 0¢ | $11,545 | $0 | −$11,545 (-100%) |
| Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? | Yes | 23¢ | 0¢ | $600 | $0 | −$600 (-100%) |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-06? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $968 | $0 | −$968 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $2,676 | +$7,186 | +269% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $125 | +$100 | +80% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $12,885 | +$5,414 | +42% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $10,906 | +$14,357 | +132% |
| Will Thailand win on 2026-06-09? | Jun 09 | $614 | −$600 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $18,351 | +$7,638 | +42% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? | Jun 07 | $962 | −$944 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $498 | +$939 | +188% |
| Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-06? | Jun 05 | $993 | −$968 | -97% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-04? | Jun 04 | $11,624 | −$11,545 | -99% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $2,142 | +$4,455 | +208% |
| Will Italy win on 2026-06-03? | Jun 04 | $5,050 | +$2,463 | +49% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? | Jun 02 | $4,357 | +$7,349 | +169% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | Jun 02 | $102 | −$102 | -100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Ma | Jun 02 | $205 | −$205 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | Jun 02 | $2,445 | −$2,445 | -100% |
| ITF Tsaghkadzor: Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski vs Gabriele Bosio | Jun 02 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-01? | Jun 01 | $2,351 | +$2,003 | +85% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-05-31? | May 31 | $2,104 | +$250 | +12% |
| Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $625 | +$604 | +97% |
| UFC Fight Night: Alonzo Menifield vs. Zhang Mingyang (Light Heavyweigh | May 30 | $204 | −$10 | -5% |
| Will Liaoning Tieren FC win on 2026-05-29? | May 29 | $203 | +$272 | +134% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 29 | $1,278 | +$860 | +67% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $542 | +$5,740 | +1059% |
| Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 24 | $531 | +$1,211 | +228% |
| Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC end in a draw? | May 24 | $102 | +$33 | +32% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? | May 19 | $470 | −$440 | -94% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +69.0% | +52.9% | 75% | 75% | +56.1% |
| ≤30d | 27 | +73.8% | +57.2% | 63% | 63% | +38.4% |
| ≤90d | 27 | +73.8% | +57.2% | 63% | 63% | +38.4% |
| all | 27 | +73.8% | +57.2% | 63% | 63% | +38.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +57.2% | 63% | +38.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +42.2% | 59% | +25.2% |
| 15% | +28.5% | 56% | +13.1% |
| 20% | +15.9% | 44% | +2.0% |