Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T19:00:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A8 0xa8b7…d74a crypto 60 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (186 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$0 (+0%) realized +$0 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate63%38W / 22L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day186.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (186 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -2.4% -11.7% 63% 50% -11.4%
≤30d 60 -2.4% -11.7% 63% 50% -11.4%
≤90d 60 -2.4% -11.7% 63% 50% -11.4%
all 60 -2.4% -11.7% 63% 50% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover186.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 50% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 27% -19.9%
15% -27.8% 12% -27.6%
20% -34.9% 7% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.47 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses38 / 22
Open positions0
Markets (closed)60 / 60
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day186.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 60 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 16 $17 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $11 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 16 $12 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 16 $24 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $37 −$6 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $16 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 16 $20 −$4 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $8 −$3 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 16 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 244 history records