Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:09:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa88d…255a
crypto · 433 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$103 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$103 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$103
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses232 / 201
Open positions0
Markets (closed)433 / 433
History coverage69d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day9.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 433 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days−$65
14 days−$32
30 days−$54
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +57%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$103
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 265 -6.0% -15.0% 57% 54% -15.8%
≤30d 344 -1.4% -10.8% 56% 52% -12.3%
≤90d 433 -3.7% -12.8% 54% 51% -13.8%
all 433 -3.7% -12.8% 54% 51% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 51% -13.8%
10% -21.2% 48% -22.0%
15% -28.8% 45% -29.6%
20% -35.8% 36% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 924 history records