Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:26:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa88d…2895
crypto · 1400 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,621 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$190 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$90
Realized+$190
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses105 / 1293
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1398 / 1400
History coverage2d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day288.0
Drawdown12%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1398 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$164
7 days+$190
14 days+$190
30 days+$190
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 60¢ $30 $36 +$6 (+21%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 50¢ 40¢ $30 $24 −$6 (-21%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 50¢ 60¢ $15 $18 +$3 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 50¢ 40¢ $15 $12 −$3 (-19%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $33 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $70 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $120 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 14 $88 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $76 −$1 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $35 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $74 +$5 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $96 +$3 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $60 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $30 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $45 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $65 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$181
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $9 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $28 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $11 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $26 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1398 +0.2% -9.3% 8% 1% -9.3%
≤30d 1398 +0.2% -9.3% 8% 1% -9.3%
≤90d 1398 +0.2% -9.3% 8% 1% -9.3%
all 1398 +0.2% -9.3% 8% 1% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover288.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 1% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 0% -17.9%
15% -25.9% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $90.00 · official $90.00 (match) · 3500 history records