Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:34:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa87b…968b
sports · 1497 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,067 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,066 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized−$4,066
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses343 / 1145
Est. fees paid−$44
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1488 / 1497
History coverage319d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 8 History 1488 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days−$53
14 days−$34
30 days−$119
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+2%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+2%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-30%)
Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 +$10 +158%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $6 +$20 +325%
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $15 −$8 -50%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $5 −$1 -26%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $7 +$12 +172%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $5 −$2 -39%
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $7 −$3 -38%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Kosovo vs. Andorra: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $5 −$5 -100%
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 4.5 Jun 09 $6 −$6 -100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $5 +$6 +124%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $6 −$4 -64%
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $7 −$3 -38%
Venezuela vs. Türkiye: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Curaçao vs. Aruba: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $6 −$6 -100%
Bolivia vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $5 +$9 +194%
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $6 −$2 -36%
Romania vs. Wales: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $4 +$8 +188%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $7 −$4 -56%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 4.5 Jun 06 $5 −$3 -52%
Sagan Tosu vs. Shōnan Bellmāre: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw? Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $7 +$13 +180%
Azerbaijan vs. Malta: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $5 −$5 -100%
FC Gifu vs. Gainare Tottori: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $6 −$6 -100%
Paraguay vs. Nicaragua: O/U 3.5 Jun 06 $6 +$7 +114%
San Marino vs. Bangladesh: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $7 +$13 +188%
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $8 −$8 -100%
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 Jun 05 $7 −$7 -100%
Moldova vs. Bulgaria: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $7 −$2 -30%
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $7 +$11 +152%
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 4.5 Jun 04 $13 −$9 -70%
Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $7 −$7 -100%
Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $4 +$6 +146%
Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $6 +$8 +130%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $4 +$5 +113%
Haiti vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 Jun 03 $5 +$6 +129%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 03 $6 +$5 +86%
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $4 −$2 -45%
Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $6 −$4 -59%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 67% −$2,348
other 22% −$1,004
crypto 8% −$536
politics 1% −$83
world 1% −$5
economics 0% −$63
culture 0% −$4
tech 0% −$2
weather 0% −$15
finance 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 1h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 1h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 23¢ $6 15h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 38¢ $6 15h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $7 18h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $6 40h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 AND Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11 BUY 21¢ $5 40h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 22¢ $8 40h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 17¢ $4 40h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 22¢ $5 42h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 42¢ $15 42h
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 36¢ $7 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 40¢ $6 2d
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 18¢ $3 2d
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 6¢ $5 2d
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 28¢ $5 2d
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $15 2d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 2d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 2d
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $4 2d
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 16¢ $12 2d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 36¢ $2 3d
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $2 3d
Azerbaijan vs. San Marino: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 31¢ $2 3d
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 16¢ $2 3d
Belarus vs. Burkina Faso: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 41¢ $7 3d
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 30¢ $2 3d
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 30¢ $1 3d
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 30¢ $2 3d
Tajikistan vs. India: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 22¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -20.6% -28.1% 22% 22% -32.8%
≤30d 80 -26.3% -33.3% 25% 25% -33.2%
≤90d 326 -13.9% -22.1% 23% 22% -29.4%
all 1488 -14.1% -22.3% 23% 23% -24.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.3% 23% -24.7%
10% -29.7% 22% -31.9%
15% -36.5% 22% -38.5%
20% -42.7% 21% -44.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.66 · official $22.68 (match) · 3432 history records