Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:58:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa879…43ba
crypto · 157 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$551 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,110 · open +$26
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$176
Realized+$1,110
Unrealized+$26
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses78 / 78
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)156 / 157
History coverage9d
Avg bet$104
Trades / day38.0
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 1 History 156 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,104
7 days+$1,104
14 days+$1,110
30 days+$1,110
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 73¢ 86¢ $150 $176 +$26 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $105 $0 −$105 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Neither team to score first? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $604 +$62 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $602 +$33 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $990 +$59 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $201 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $158 −$150 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $158 +$50 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $259 +$88 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $109 −$105 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $214 +$60 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$30 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $256 +$141 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $209 +$66 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $432 +$209 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$84 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $155 +$146 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$61 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$27 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $102 −$100 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $652 +$1 +0%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $608 +$44 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $155 −$150 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $102 +$51 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$73 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $657 +$40 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $202 +$39 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $102 +$44 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $426 +$25 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $520 +$29 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$46 +871%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $205 −$200 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $403 +$52 +13%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Neither team to score first? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $205 −$205 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $103 +$64 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $103 +$66 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $700 +$7 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$1,136
other 4% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $153 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $503 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $101 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $501 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $101 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $737 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $101 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $51 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $101 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $104 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $201 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $53 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $105 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $153 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $201 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $52 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $103 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $11 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $204 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $32 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $152 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $204 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $277 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $51 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-23.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 134 -11.9% -20.3% 53% 36% -3.3%
≤30d 156 -15.3% -23.4% 50% 34% -3.3%
≤90d 156 -15.3% -23.4% 50% 34% -3.3%
all 156 -15.3% -23.4% 50% 34% -3.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.4% 34% -3.3%
10% ← realistic here -30.7% 31% -12.5%
15% -37.4% 21% -21.0%
20% -43.5% 16% -28.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $176.26 · official $155.64 · 502 history records