Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:20:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa86c…ea58
crypto · 1092 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$8,514 +15%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,012 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized+$1,012
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses638 / 619
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1257 / 1092
History coverage9d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day298.0
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,637
7 days−$647
14 days+$1,012
30 days+$1,012
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 56¢ 64¢ $11 $13 +$1 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 74¢ 92¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$8,445
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $12 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $7 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $8 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $15 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $13 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1060 -15.1% -23.2% 47% 46% -10.8%
≤30d 1257 -7.7% -16.5% 51% 49% -7.9%
≤90d 1257 -7.7% -16.5% 51% 49% -7.9%
all 1257 -7.7% -16.5% 51% 49% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover298.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 49% -7.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 44% -16.7%
15% -31.7% 35% -24.8%
20% -38.4% 27% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.85 · official $21.85 (match) · 3500 history records