Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:24:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa863…0bf4
crypto · 765 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$476 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$476 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$476
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses517 / 248
Open positions0
Markets (closed)765 / 765
History coverage31d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day102.7
Drawdown63%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 765 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days−$729
14 days−$395
30 days+$446
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +72%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +105%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +317%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +64%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$4 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$4 +42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$4 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$4 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$5 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$8 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$9 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $9 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $9 +$7 +72%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$4 +42%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$7 -73%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 10 $9 +$4 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +40%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$2 +317%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$2 +56%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$476
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $3 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $0 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $4 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $0 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $0 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $3 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $4 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $0 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $0 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $0 12h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $2 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $4 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $2 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $7 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)+17.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 221 -60.4% -64.1% 21% 20% -64.7%
≤30d 753 +28.4% +16.2% 67% 67% +0.7%
≤90d 765 +30.2% +17.8% 68% 67% +1.3%
all 765 +30.2% +17.8% 68% 67% +1.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover102.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +17.8% 67% +1.3%
10% ← realistic here +6.5% 67% -8.4%
15% -3.8% 65% -17.2%
20% -13.2% 29% -25.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records