Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:07:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa861…a2a7
sports · 1014 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$171 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$170 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$67
Realized−$170
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses502 / 497
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions15
Markets (closed)999 / 1014
History coverage24d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day98.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 15 History 999 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$170
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? No 77¢ 88¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+16%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 39¢ 38¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? No 37¢ 36¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-11%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 66¢ 98¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+48%)
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Yes 56¢ 58¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 85¢ 99¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+17%)
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner ex-Zero Tenacity 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? No 69¢ 73¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 57¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 83¢ 84¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Over 37¢ 32¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-12%)
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No 56¢ 61¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-97%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $10 +$13 +129%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $1 +$1 +140%
Will IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball end in a draw? Jun 03 $1 $0 +10%
Will IK Start win on 2026-05-25? Jun 03 $1 $0 +23%
IK Start vs. Vålerenga Fotball: O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $1 $0 +34%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1 −$1 -100%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 May 27 $1 −$1 -100%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score May 27 $2 +$2 +95%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic May 27 $2 $0 +0%
Roland Garros ATP: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Alex Michelsen May 27 $2 +$1 +44%
Roland Garros ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Quentin Halys May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Sta May 27 $2 −$1 -40%
Roland Garros ATP: Mariano Navone vs Jakub Mensik May 27 $2 +$2 +84%
Chisinau: Sumit Nagal vs Zdenek Kolar May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina May 27 $3 −$3 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic May 27 $2 +$3 +140%
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU - Map 2 Winner May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Busta May 27 $2 +$1 +35%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynets May 27 $2 $0 +20%
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs HAVU - Map 1 Winner May 27 $2 $0 -14%
Roland Garros WTA: Francesca Jones vs Marie Bouzkova May 27 $1 $0 +24%
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublev May 27 $2 +$1 +52%
Roland Garros WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Magda Linette May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Marco Trungelliti May 27 $2 +$1 +28%
Vicenza: Stefano Travaglia vs Henri Squire May 27 $2 $0 -9%
Roland Garros WTA: Daria Snigur vs Peyton Stearns May 27 $2 +$1 +53%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tiran May 27 $2 +$1 +65%
Chisinau: Lorenzo Giustino vs Luca Nardi May 27 $2 +$1 +32%
Chisinau: Elias Ymer vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri May 27 $2 +$1 +47%
Roland Garros ATP: Federico Cina vs Jesper de Jong May 27 $2 $0 +2%
Roland Garros WTA: Caty McNally vs Belinda Bencic May 27 $2 +$1 +56%
Kosice: Mathys Erhard vs Stefan Dostanic May 27 $1 $0 +48%
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Recoleta FC end in a draw? May 27 $2 $0 +23%
Will Club Nacional de Football vs. CD Coquimbo Unido end in a draw? May 27 $1 $0 +26%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $2 +$1 +35%
Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Estudiantes de La Plata vs. Independiente Medellín end in a draw? May 27 $2 +$1 +55%
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $2 +$1 +73%
Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $2 +$1 +65%
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $2 $0 +22%
Will CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC end in a draw? May 27 $2 $0 +17%
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-26? May 27 $2 $0 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 78% −$115
other 21% −$57
politics 1% −$2
crypto 0% +$2
world 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 39¢ $1 6m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 39¢ $1 7m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 39¢ $1 54m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 39¢ $1 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY No 69¢ $1 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 39¢ $1 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 39¢ $1 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 39¢ $1 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 39¢ $1 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 39¢ $1 1h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 39¢ $1 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 37¢ $1 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 37¢ $1 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 37¢ $1 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 37¢ $1 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 37¢ $1 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 37¢ $1 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 37¢ $1 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 37¢ $1 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 37¢ $1 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 37¢ $1 6h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 37¢ $1 6h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $1 14h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 24h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 24h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $1 25h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? SELL No 86¢ $1 27h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 28h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 28h
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +6.6% -3.6% 57% 57% -29.5%
≤30d 999 -6.2% -15.1% 50% 42% -16.0%
≤90d 999 -6.2% -15.1% 50% 42% -16.0%
all 999 -6.2% -15.1% 50% 42% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover98.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.1% 42% -16.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 35% -24.1%
15% -30.7% 24% -31.4%
20% -37.5% 19% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $67.23 · official $67.25 (match) · 3500 history records