Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:49:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa85b…eb0e
sports · 546 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$7,128 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,620 · open +$508
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$88,174
Realized+$6,620
Unrealized+$508
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses146 / 148
Whale WR (big bets)58%
Est. fees paid−$862
Open positions317
Markets (closed)294 / 546
History coverage4d
Avg bet$222
Trades / day948.5
Drawdown44%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 317 History 294 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,707
7 days+$6,620
14 days+$6,620
30 days+$6,620
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $9,177 $9,178 +$1 (+0%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 46¢ $7,078 $6,760 −$318 (-4%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 53¢ 54¢ $6,145 $6,217 +$71 (+1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $5,798 $5,983 +$185 (+3%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 93¢ 94¢ $5,239 $5,276 +$37 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 54¢ $4,656 $4,700 +$44 (+1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $3,905 $3,929 +$24 (+1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 44¢ $3,623 $3,744 +$121 (+3%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 42¢ 42¢ $3,166 $3,200 +$33 (+1%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Germany 47¢ 48¢ $2,553 $2,579 +$26 (+1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $2,187 $2,171 −$16 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $1,841 $1,859 +$17 (+1%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $1,665 $1,681 +$16 (+1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 24¢ $1,611 $1,644 +$34 (+2%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 57¢ $1,579 $1,565 −$13 (-1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 80¢ 81¢ $1,282 $1,305 +$24 (+2%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 88¢ 88¢ $1,290 $1,298 +$7 (+1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 74¢ $1,143 $1,150 +$6 (+1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $1,100 $1,088 −$11 (-1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? No 96¢ 96¢ $1,088 $1,084 −$4 (-0%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? No 94¢ 96¢ $1,037 $1,059 +$22 (+2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Under 59¢ 62¢ $888 $936 +$47 (+5%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 93¢ 94¢ $807 $815 +$8 (+1%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 19¢ 18¢ $679 $660 −$19 (-3%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 79¢ 81¢ $629 $649 +$20 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Fenerbahçe SK (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2026-04-11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5) Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Rio Ave FC vs. FC Alverca end in a draw? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will América FC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-04-17? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-3.5) Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Spread: Poland (-2.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $279 −$279 -100%
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5) Jun 12 $138 −$138 -100%
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $78 −$78 -100%
Istanbul: Andrej Nedic vs Mert Alkaya Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-06? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $140 −$140 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5) Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-06? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Nuggets vs. Spurs Jun 12 $216 −$216 -100%
ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Real Salt Lake vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $133 −$133 -100%
Kyōto Sanga FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Toulouse FC vs. Lille OSC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $92 −$92 -100%
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Walsall FC win on 2026-04-03? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Timberwolves vs. Pacers Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
CA Boston River vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
SC Freiburg vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-04-03? Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Kansas City Royals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Kristiansund BK vs. Viking FK end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 168.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) Jun 12 $47 −$47 -100%
Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Kashima Antlers end in a draw? Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 53% +$11,246
other 46% +$984
crypto 2% $0
world 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 96¢ $3 3m
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? BUY No 43¢ $23 4m
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 56¢ $4 4m
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 96¢ $3 4m
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 96¢ $2 5m
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 96¢ $3 6m
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 96¢ $3 7m
United States vs. Australia: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 28¢ $4 7m
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 96¢ $4 7m
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? BUY No 96¢ $3 8m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $12 8m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $3 8m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $5 8m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $7 8m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $5 8m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $7 8m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $6 8m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $10 8m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $12 8m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $13 8m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $16 8m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $25 8m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $3 9m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $8 9m
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? BUY No 41¢ $1 9m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $28 9m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $29 9m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $29 9m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $41 9m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $75 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-17.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 294 -8.8% -17.5% 50% 39% +6.3%
≤30d 294 -8.8% -17.5% 50% 39% +6.3%
≤90d 294 -8.8% -17.5% 50% 39% +6.3%
all 294 -8.8% -17.5% 50% 39% +6.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover948.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.5% 39% +6.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.4% 33% -3.9%
15% -32.6% 24% -13.2%
20% -39.2% 19% -21.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $88,174.20 · official $88,170.74 (match) · 3500 history records