Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:54:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa849…cc3e
crypto · 191 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$36 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses138 / 53
Open positions0
Markets (closed)191 / 191
History coverage6d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day84.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 191 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$36
14 days−$36
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +35%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $18 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $19 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 191 -7.2% -16.0% 72% 21% -11.7%
≤30d 191 -7.2% -16.0% 72% 21% -11.7%
≤90d 191 -7.2% -16.0% 72% 21% -11.7%
all 191 -7.2% -16.0% 72% 21% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover84.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 21% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 14% -20.1%
15% -31.4% 8% -27.8%
20% -38.1% 6% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 609 history records