Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:00:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A8 0xa845…55f1 crypto 807 markets active 6d ago coverage 8d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 8d only
✗ bot/MM pace (356 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$352 (+1%) realized +$352 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate85%688W / 119L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$72per market
Trades / day356.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$81
14 days−$1,170
30 days−$764
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$764
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (356 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 -23.7% -31.0% 59% 56% -34.7%
≤30d 807 -2.4% -11.7% 85% 27% -10.7%
≤90d 807 -2.4% -11.7% 85% 27% -10.7%
all 807 -2.4% -11.7% 85% 27% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover356.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 27% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 17% -19.3%
15% -27.8% 6% -27.1%
20% -34.9% 2% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
68% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.9 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$28 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.77 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$352
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses688 / 119
Open positions0
Markets (closed)807 / 807
History coverage8d ⚠
Avg bet$72
Trades / day356.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 807 Trades
no open positions (8 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records