Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:33:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa83f…b857
sports · 337 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$254 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$592 · open −$846
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6,078
Realized+$592
Unrealized−$846
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses188 / 143
Whale WR (big bets)65%
Est. fees paid−$1,628
Open positions6
Markets (closed)331 / 337
History coverage202d
Avg bet$555
Trades / day8.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 6 History 331 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7,733
7 days+$8,558
14 days+$6,128
30 days+$770
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner FURIA 94¢ 100¢ $5,667 $6,020 +$353 (+6%)
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $78 $54 −$24 (-31%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Team Heretics Academy 53¢ 0¢ $241 $2 −$239 (-99%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5) G2 Esports 53¢ 0¢ $161 $1 −$160 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 47¢ 0¢ $612 $1 −$611 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 22¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Zero Tenacity (+1.5) Zero Tenacity 34¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 20¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 32.5 in Game 1? Under 53¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner 3DMAX 56¢ 0¢ $101 $0 −$101 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 66¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) G2 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 42¢ 0¢ $914 $0 −$914 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 68¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1? Under 57¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs Legacy (+2.5) Team Falcons 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A Natus Vincere 17¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 - Map 2 Winner M80 52¢ 0¢ $378 $0 −$378 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffs fnatic 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Team Yandex 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 NIP 52¢ 0¢ $531 $0 −$531 (-100%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) B8 54¢ 0¢ $802 $0 −$802 (-100%)
Will FK Sochi vs. FK Spartak Moskva end in a draw? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 4 Winner Natus Vincere 30¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Heroic (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Natus Vincere 7¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $502 +$522 +104%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $1,574 +$81 +5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5,143 −$640 -12%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1,393 +$95 +7%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $397 −$397 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $21 −$21 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5,480 +$2,082 +38%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $1,715 +$3,780 +220%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $3,298 +$247 +8%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $914 −$914 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $32 +$15 +45%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,109 +$1,710 +81%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $510 +$208 +41%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $851 −$851 -100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs 9z (+6.5) Jun 12 $112 −$110 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,761 −$1,761 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $288 −$288 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $927 −$927 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5,531 +$151 +3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $990 +$110 +11%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,016 +$2,280 +113%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $970 +$29 +3%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) Jun 12 $814 −$802 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $2,779 −$1,283 -46%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3,540 +$4,414 +125%
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs G2 NORD (+1.5) Jun 11 $1,180 +$818 +69%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) Jun 11 $139 +$111 +79%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 Jun 11 $942 +$778 +83%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $2,078 +$821 +40%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $215 −$215 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $22 +$3 +12%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $1,181 −$1,181 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $2,224 +$67 +3%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $88 −$88 -100%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $384 −$384 -100%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $1,672 −$564 -34%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $1,194 +$592 +50%
Game Handicap: BTR (-2.5) vs EVOS (+2.5) Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Heretics (BO1) - Europe MENA League S Jun 09 $9 −$9 -98%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Monte (-3.5) vs paiN (+3.5) Jun 09 $1,679 +$286 +17%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $90 +$30 +33%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $697 −$697 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $454 +$605 +133%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $328 +$33 +10%
Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VII? Jun 07 $47 +$34 +74%
Other Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: GamerLegion (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5) Jun 07 $3 +$2 +83%
LoL: RED Canids vs Leviatan Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $85 −$85 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $2,048 +$350 +17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$395
other 5% −$649
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 96¢ $1,920 11m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 100¢ $3,800 13m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 96¢ $1,105 15m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 93¢ $22 17m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 93¢ $884 17m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 94¢ $926 17m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 94¢ $14 17m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 93¢ $23 17m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 86¢ $10 19m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 86¢ $28 19m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 86¢ $101 19m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 86¢ $414 19m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 86¢ $190 19m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 84¢ $9 19m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 84¢ $21 20m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner SELL Team Heretics Academy 100¢ $1,024 30m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 53¢ $206 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 53¢ $35 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 23¢ $13 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 23¢ $91 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 23¢ $18 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 23¢ $14 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 23¢ $19 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 23¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 23¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 23¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 23¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 12¢ $4 1h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: G2 Esports (-4.5) vs XLG Gaming (+4.5) BUY G2 Esports 53¢ $163 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 100¢ $1,655 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 -4.1% -13.3% 58% 43% +2.5%
≤30d 209 -0.4% -9.9% 57% 39% -9.0%
≤90d 210 -0.4% -9.9% 58% 39% -9.0%
all 331 -2.4% -11.7% 57% 37% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.2 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.7% 37% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.1% 32% -17.9%
15% -27.8% 29% -25.8%
20% -34.9% 23% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6,078.01 · official $6,078.01 (match) · 1849 history records