trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 25% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 25% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 28 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 54% | 4% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.4% | 4% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 4% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 81¢ | $29 | $28 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $59 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 26 | $28 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 25 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 25 | $41 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Ethereum above $2,800 on June 17? | Jun 18 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will XRP reach $3.50 in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2025? | May 19 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Ivica Zubac win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved? | Apr 07 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 06 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump signs national abortion ban? | Apr 04 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Cana | Apr 04 | $13 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump deport 2,000,000 or more people? | Apr 02 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people? | Apr 01 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government? | Mar 29 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 21-28? | Mar 26 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 21 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 7-14? | Mar 15 | $12 | +$1 | +5% |
| Will egg prices be between $5.00 and $5.25 in February? | Mar 13 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 11 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Mar 10 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Fairfield vs. Siena | Mar 05 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Missouri vs. Oklahoma | Mar 05 | $9 | $0 | -2% |
| Oral Roberts vs. UMKC | Mar 05 | $14 | −$1 | -7% |
| San Diego vs. Pacific | Mar 05 | $19 | −$5 | -29% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2000 by February 28 2025? | Mar 05 | $15 | +$4 | +24% |
| Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or | Feb 28 | $15 | $0 | +0% |