Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:59:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa82b…dd2a
crypto · 589 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$149 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$162 · open +$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$78
Realized−$162
Unrealized+$13
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses269 / 318
Est. fees paid−$41
Open positions2
Markets (closed)587 / 589
History coverage62d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day47.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 2 History 587 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days−$37
14 days−$32
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Gen.G 78¢ 88¢ $57 $64 +$7 (+12%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Gen.G 50¢ 85¢ $8 $14 +$6 (+71%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $28 +$3 +10%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $61 +$33 +54%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $1 $0 -19%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $17 −$3 -16%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $38 −$12 -31%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $53 +$2 +4%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $34 +$15 +45%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $27 −$2 -7%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 11 $1 $0 +22%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 11 $3 −$3 -92%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $6 +$1 +23%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $4 −$1 -12%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $2 $0 -22%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner Jun 09 $2 +$1 +27%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South A Jun 08 $3 $0 +10%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $10 +$5 +46%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 08 $5 +$11 +203%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $16 +$11 +66%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $6 +$1 +10%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $37 −$29 -78%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $7 +$2 +23%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $72 +$11 +15%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $19 −$9 -49%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $25 +$5 +21%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $34 +$4 +13%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $55 +$28 +50%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $31 −$2 -7%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $14 +$9 +67%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $14 +$4 +31%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $37 −$8 -21%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $6 $0 +6%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $23 +$117 +497%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $22 −$2 -9%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $71 +$1 +2%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $43 −$11 -25%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $32 −$21 -67%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $35 −$35 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $18 −$5 -28%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $27 −$9 -36%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $47 −$44 -93%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $16 +$14 +86%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $2 $0 +16%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $35 −$2 -7%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $38 +$64 +169%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $72 −$51 -70%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 45% −$53
crypto 34% −$110
other 20% +$13
world 0% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 83¢ $0 0m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 84¢ $0 0m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 84¢ $0 0m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 66¢ $0 3m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 66¢ $0 4m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 65¢ $1 4m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 66¢ $0 4m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 67¢ $0 5m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 67¢ $0 5m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 67¢ $0 6m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 67¢ $1 6m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 89¢ $1 10m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 87¢ $0 11m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 89¢ $1 11m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 89¢ $0 11m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 83¢ $1 12m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 83¢ $0 12m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 81¢ $1 12m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $0 13m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $2 13m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 67¢ $0 18m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $19 31m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $6 31m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 78¢ $3 32m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $2 32m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 77¢ $0 32m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $0 32m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $0 32m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $0 32m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 78¢ $0 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 +4.0% -5.9% 50% 37% -11.2%
≤30d 89 +2.9% -6.9% 49% 36% -11.0%
≤90d 587 -5.0% -14.0% 46% 37% -12.5%
all 587 -5.0% -14.0% 46% 37% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover47.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.0% 37% -12.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 31% -20.8%
15% -29.8% 27% -28.5%
20% -36.6% 19% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $77.55 · official $77.55 (match) · 3500 history records