Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T03:51:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A8 0xa825…2ef0 crypto 929 markets active 1h ago coverage 88d ⚠
UNRELIABLEdata unreliable ⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 87d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$5,790 (-14%) realized −$5,790 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -36% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -51% what you keep after slip
Net edge-51%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate51%590W / 565L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$46per market
Trades / day35.1pace
Fees−$190est.
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 88d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 57% −$4,509
crypto 35% −$1,254
other 8% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-42.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 261 -94.2% -94.7% 5% 2% -81.1%
≤30d 369 -75.7% -78.0% 16% 8% -75.2%
≤90d 1155 -36.3% -42.3% 51% 21% -35.0%
all 1155 -36.3% -42.3% 51% 21% -35.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover35.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -42.3% 21% -35.0%
10% ← realistic here -47.9% 11% -41.2%
15% -52.9% 5% -46.9%
20% -57.5% 3% -52.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -28% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
59% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -36% · $-wt -28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -61% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.5 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$26 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.22 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

88d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,790
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses590 / 565
Est. fees paid−$190
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1155 / 929
History coverage88d ⚠
Avg bet$46
Trades / day35.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1155 Trades
no open positions (491 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Clippers vs. Kings Jun 17 $34 −$34 -100%
Nets vs. Clippers: O/U 212.5 Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Game Handicap: Pipsqueak+4 (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5) Jun 17 $28 −$28 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs magic (BO3) - European Pro League Ser Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs largadosypelados - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 17 $36 −$36 -100%
First Blood in Game 3? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs M80 - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: Misa Esports vs S2G Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $27 −$27 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Pl Jun 17 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs MOUZ NXT - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2? Jun 17 $46 −$46 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 3? Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Los Heretics vs LUA Gaming (BO1) - LES Kick-off Group B Jun 17 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Mavericks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5 Jun 17 $227 −$227 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $39 −$39 -100%
Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Playoffs Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs SU Esports (BO5) - TCL Playoffs Jun 17 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $53 −$53 -100%
LoL: Dragons Esports vs GnG Amazigh (BO3) - Arabian League Seeding Pha Jun 17 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs Jun 17 $73 −$73 -100%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Sharks (BO3) - Circuit X Betboom Jun 17 $15 −$15 -100%
1H Spread: Magic (-6.5) Jun 17 $51 −$51 -100%
Hornets vs. Lakers: 1H Moneyline Jun 17 $211 −$211 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $5 −$22 -436%
Dota 2: Aurora vs 1win - Game 2 Winner Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Spread: Clippers (-3.5) Jun 17 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 17 $23 −$23 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO1) - Roman Imperium Jun 17 $63 −$63 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 17 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: Avanti Esport vs GamerLegion (BO1) - Parken Challenger Jun 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs NIP - Map 1 Winner Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Jun 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-4.5) Jun 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Dylan Harper: Assists O/U 3.5 Jun 17 $18 −$18 -100%
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 17 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Ursa (BO3) Jun 17 $11 −$11 -100%
Valorant: SaD Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCL North America Playoffs Jun 17 $22 −$22 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Stage 2 Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Algeria? SELL No 100¢ $243 56m
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 2 Algeria? BUY No 99¢ $240 1h
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY No 79¢ $64 9h
Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? BUY No 79¢ $127 9h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Nemesis 100¢ $38 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Nemesis 99¢ $10 10h
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Infinite - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Nemesis 98¢ $27 10h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 28¢ $2 2d
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) BUY Monte 54¢ $11 2d
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) SELL Monte 99¢ $27 2d
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) BUY Monte 60¢ $1 2d
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: TheMongolz (-3.5) vs Monte (+3.5) BUY Monte 60¢ $15 2d
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner BUY fnatic 25¢ $2 2d
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner BUY fnatic 25¢ $1 2d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 99¢ $30 2d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 57¢ $11 2d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 40¢ $12 2d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 40¢ $12 2d
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 8¢ $2 2d
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Top Esports 8¢ $0 2d
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 71¢ $28 2d
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 62¢ $18 2d
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 62¢ $7 2d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 99¢ $40 2d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 58¢ $23 2d
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Top Esports 40¢ $12 2d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $38 2d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 28¢ $1 2d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 28¢ $0 2d
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 28¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records