trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -6.7% | -15.6% | 0% | 0% | -15.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -6.7% | -15.6% | 0% | 0% | -15.6% |
| ≤90d | 1 | -6.7% | -15.6% | 0% | 0% | -15.6% |
| all | 28 | -12.4% | -20.7% | 54% | 25% | -11.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.7% | 25% | -11.5% |
| 10% | -28.3% | 18% | -20.0% |
| 15% | -35.2% | 18% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -41.6% | 7% | -34.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $1,370 | $1,385 | +$15 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $4,766 | −$321 | -7% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 25 | $416 | +$437 | +105% |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-09-27? | Sep 30 | $56 | +$199 | +354% |
| Astros vs. Tigers | Aug 21 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-17? | Aug 18 | $150 | +$2 | +1% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15? | Aug 16 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Padres vs. Giants | Aug 14 | $472 | −$472 | -100% |
| Ethereum above $3,000 on July 21? | Jul 21 | $262 | $0 | +0% |
| Solana above $180 on July 21? | Jul 21 | $168 | −$168 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? | Nov 08 | $500 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Trump say "missile defense shield" during Virginia rally on Nov 2 | Nov 03 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Virginia rally on Nov 2? | Nov 03 | $60 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Trump say "Mars" during Virginia rally on Nov 2? | Nov 03 | $336 | +$33 | +10% |
| Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov | Nov 02 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "teleprompter" 3 or more times during Wisconsin rally o | Nov 02 | $135 | +$61 | +45% |
| Will Trump say "border" 30 or more times during Wisconsin rally on Nov | Nov 02 | $242 | +$21 | +9% |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin"during New Mexico rally on October | Nov 01 | $430 | +$14 | +3% |
| Will Trump say "women's sports" during Wisconsin rally on Oct 30? | Oct 31 | $14 | −$14 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on | Oct 30 | $67 | +$30 | +45% |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" 20 or more times during Pennsylvania rally on | Oct 30 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29? | Oct 30 | $44 | +$6 | +15% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct | Oct 30 | $86 | +$4 | +5% |
| Will Trump say "McDonald's" during Pennsylvania rally on Oct 29? | Oct 30 | $126 | +$26 | +20% |
| Will Trump say "No income tax" during Georgia rally on October 28? | Oct 29 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Catholic" during Georgia rally on October 28? | Oct 29 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Georgia rally on Octob | Oct 29 | $244 | +$95 | +39% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Sep 02 | $3,484 | −$5 | -0% |
| Bitcoin above $60,000 on September 6? | Sep 02 | $20 | +$2 | +8% |