Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:44:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A8
0xa804…2a75
sports · 85 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$5,163 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,352 · open −$189
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$33,823
Realized+$5,352
Unrealized−$189
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses25 / 31
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$930
Open positions29
Markets (closed)56 / 85
History coverage3d
Avg bet$1,050
Trades / day221.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit78%
Chart Positions 29 History 56 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$5,890
7 days+$5,352
14 days+$5,352
30 days+$5,352
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? No 19¢ 20¢ $7,695 $7,898 +$202 (+3%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 39¢ 38¢ $5,850 $5,775 −$75 (-1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $4,361 $4,134 −$227 (-5%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Team Vitality 50¢ 100¢ $1,777 $3,552 +$1,775 (+100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 76¢ 76¢ $3,420 $3,442 +$22 (+1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 79¢ 80¢ $1,385 $1,409 +$24 (+2%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $928 $936 +$9 (+1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Josh Hokit 77¢ 78¢ $808 $824 +$16 (+2%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 51¢ 52¢ $600 $606 +$6 (+1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Sean OMalley 78¢ 78¢ $585 $589 +$4 (+1%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Arizona Diamondbacks 50¢ 48¢ $600 $582 −$18 (-3%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 48¢ 46¢ $600 $581 −$19 (-3%)
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ 48¢ $582 $570 −$12 (-2%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 6¢ 6¢ $532 $545 +$14 (+3%)
UFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card) Bo Nickal 73¢ 74¢ $402 $405 +$3 (+1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 47¢ 74¢ $235 $368 +$132 (+56%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 Under 47¢ 46¢ $338 $335 −$4 (-1%)
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Los Angeles Angels 51¢ 50¢ $300 $297 −$3 (-1%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Under 49¢ 48¢ $300 $297 −$3 (-1%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $240 $232 −$8 (-3%)
UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) Aiemann Zahabi 22¢ 22¢ $174 $170 −$4 (-2%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $108 $114 +$5 (+5%)
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5 Under 46¢ 46¢ $60 $61 +$1 (+1%)
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) Justin Gaethje 20¢ 20¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Will Drogheda United FC win on 2026-06-12? Yes 9¢ 10¢ $14 $15 +$2 (+11%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $2,865 +$2,558 +89%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $108 +$99 +92%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $1,323 +$3,545 +268%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $71 +$46 +64%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $1,317 −$317 -24%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $3,528 +$995 +28%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $2,475 −$2,475 -100%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $1,310 +$690 +53%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $4,063 +$997 +24%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $39 +$61 +156%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $4,185 +$3,315 +79%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $5,522 +$2,554 +46%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $6,583 −$6,498 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,088 +$512 +47%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $67 +$33 +49%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 11 $125 −$125 -100%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $417 −$417 -100%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $2,083 +$2,407 +116%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $4,623 +$6,536 +141%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $300 −$300 -100%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $1,095 −$95 -9%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $1,120 −$1,120 -100%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $250 +$118 +47%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 11 $780 −$780 -100%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $1,184 −$1,184 -100%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $1,414 −$1,414 -100%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $560 −$560 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $1,060 −$1,057 -100%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $316 −$309 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $1,574 −$1,540 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $101 −$1 -1%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $145 +$55 +38%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $284 −$208 -73%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $232 −$232 -100%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $58 +$42 +72%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Gauthier Onclin Jun 10 $533 +$317 +60%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $540 −$533 -99%
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 10 $332 +$168 +51%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $40 +$10 +25%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $62 −$62 -100%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $35 −$35 -100%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $527 −$525 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $528 −$521 -99%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5 Jun 10 $26 +$24 +96%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 10 $24 +$26 +108%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $46 +$54 +117%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $517 +$483 +93%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $522 +$728 +140%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $23 −$23 -100%
Will UD Almería win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $35 −$35 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% +$5,568
other 24% −$405
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 46¢ $17 2m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 8m
Will Derry City FC win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 65¢ $9 11m
Will Saint Patrick´s Athletic FC win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 30¢ $11 55m
Audax CS Italiano vs. CD La Serena: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 46¢ $17 1h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ $130 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 1h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ $21 1h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ $5 1h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ $13 1h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ $26 2h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ $7 2h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ $7 2h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ $15 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 39¢ $596 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 39¢ $596 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 39¢ $596 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 39¢ $596 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 39¢ $596 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 39¢ $596 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 39¢ $596 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 39¢ $585 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 39¢ $596 2h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 39¢ $596 2h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ $1 2h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ $28 2h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ $12 2h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ $9 2h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ $4 2h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Philadelphia Phillies 48¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-20.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -12.6% -20.9% 45% 45% -1.0%
≤30d 56 -12.6% -20.9% 45% 45% -1.0%
≤90d 56 -12.6% -20.9% 45% 45% -1.0%
all 56 -12.6% -20.9% 45% 45% -1.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover221.4 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.9% 45% -1.0%
10% -28.5% 45% -10.4%
15% ← realistic here -35.4% 39% -19.1%
20% -41.7% 30% -27.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33,822.63 · official $33,822.63 (match) · 749 history records