trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -19.7% | -27.4% | 67% | 0% | -6.9% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -25.2% | -32.3% | 62% | 0% | -13.6% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -25.2% | -32.3% | 62% | 0% | -13.6% |
| all | 8 | -25.2% | -32.3% | 62% | 0% | -13.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.3% | 0% | -13.6% |
| 10% | -38.8% | 0% | -21.9% |
| 15% | -44.7% | 0% | -29.5% |
| 20% | -50.1% | 0% | -36.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | Yes | 22¢ | 29¢ | $86 | $117 | +$31 (+36%) |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month? | Yes | 38¢ | 36¢ | $67 | $65 | −$3 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on | Jun 18 | $25 | +$2 | +7% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on | Jun 17 | $15 | −$11 | -72% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 15 | $434 | +$23 | +5% |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% in May? | Jun 10 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.7% in May? | Jun 10 | $50 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 09 | $26 | −$12 | -46% |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.8% in May? | Jun 08 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 08 | $10 | $0 | +0% |