Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:08:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa7f1…167e
crypto · 1301 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$733 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$945 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$945
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1150 / 151
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1301 / 1301
History coverage119d
Avg bet$147
Trades / day18.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 0 History 1301 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$25
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -53%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -53%
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -53%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 $0 -29%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 $0 -37%
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -53%
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -53%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -69%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -53%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $1 $0 +41%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $2 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $2 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$2 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 03 $7 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 03 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 03 $11 +$2 +17%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $35 −$34 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 03 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 03 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 03 $2 +$7 +351%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 03 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 03 $7 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 03 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 03 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 03 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 03 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 03 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 02 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 02 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 02 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 02 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 02 $7 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 02 $14 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 02 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 01 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 01 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 01 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 01 $2 $0 +2%
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans May 31 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET May 31 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET May 31 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 30 $7 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 30 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 30 $6 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$39
sports 9% +$539
other 5% −$1,127
finance 1% −$259
politics 0% −$42
world 0% −$13
economics 0% −$1
culture 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 1h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 2¢ $3 1h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 3d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3d
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3d
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3d
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3d
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3d
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3d
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? SELL No 5¢ $2 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? BUY No 6¢ $1 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 6? BUY No 5¢ $1 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 6? BUY No 100¢ $2 8d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -24.8% -31.9% 31% 23% -27.1%
≤30d 102 +0.6% -9.0% 80% 16% -12.3%
≤90d 259 -21.9% -29.3% 58% 10% -28.7%
all 1301 -3.0% -12.2% 88% 6% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.2% 6% -10.0%
10% -20.6% 3% -18.6%
15% -28.3% 1% -26.5%
20% -35.3% 1% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records