trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +32.8% | +20.1% | 60% | 60% | +15.7% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +32.8% | +20.1% | 60% | 60% | +15.7% |
| ≤90d | 5 | +32.8% | +20.1% | 60% | 60% | +15.7% |
| all | 36 | -1.7% | -11.1% | 61% | 44% | -0.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.1% | 44% | -0.9% |
| 10% | -19.6% | 31% | -10.4% |
| 15% | -27.4% | 22% | -19.0% |
| 20% | -34.5% | 22% | -27.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 47¢ | 46¢ | $715 | $707 | −$8 (-1%) |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 49¢ | 50¢ | $700 | $704 | +$4 (+1%) |
| Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 42¢ | 42¢ | $700 | $692 | −$8 (-1%) |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 48¢ | 50¢ | $391 | $403 | +$12 (+3%) |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | Yes | 86¢ | 86¢ | $200 | $201 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 66¢ | 66¢ | $132 | $131 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 44¢ | 41¢ | $132 | $123 | −$9 (-7%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $80 | $79 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup? | Yes | 37¢ | 36¢ | $37 | $36 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Will South Korea be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup? | Yes | 29¢ | 26¢ | $29 | $26 | −$3 (-10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $458 | −$196 | -43% |
| England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $457 | +$480 | +105% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $458 | +$640 | +140% |
| Ghana vs. Panama: Both Teams to Score | Jun 17 | $457 | −$450 | -98% |
| EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Jun 17 | $100 | +$62 | +62% |
| Thunder vs. Bucks | Jan 22 | $23 | −$19 | -83% |
| Nets vs. Knicks | Jan 22 | $27 | −$22 | -80% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Jan 21 | $21 | +$3 | +14% |
| Timberwolves vs. Jazz | Jan 21 | $34 | +$10 | +29% |
| Suns vs. 76ers | Jan 21 | $8 | −$6 | -75% |
| Knicks vs. Warriors | Jan 16 | $31 | +$23 | +74% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Warriors | Jan 14 | $29 | −$21 | -71% |
| Bulls vs. Rockets | Jan 14 | $31 | $0 | +1% |
| 76ers vs. Raptors | Jan 13 | $100 | +$3 | +3% |
| Celtics vs. Pacers | Jan 13 | $94 | −$94 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Cavaliers | Jan 13 | $32 | +$42 | +131% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jan 11 | $27 | +$1 | +2% |
| Heat vs. Pacers | Jan 11 | $35 | −$29 | -83% |
| Kings vs. Warriors | Jan 10 | $62 | +$10 | +16% |
| Rockets vs. Trail Blazers | Jan 10 | $31 | +$6 | +20% |
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies | Jan 10 | $50 | −$42 | -84% |
| Clippers vs. Nets | Jan 10 | $68 | −$68 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Wizards | Jan 10 | $105 | −$105 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Celtics | Jan 10 | $49 | +$5 | +10% |
| Mavericks vs. Jazz | Jan 09 | $87 | +$14 | +17% |
| Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves | Jan 09 | $20 | +$20 | +100% |
| Pacers vs. Hornets | Jan 09 | $96 | +$10 | +10% |
| Heat vs. Bulls | Jan 09 | $100 | −$35 | -35% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Jan 08 | $50 | −$1 | -2% |
| Bucks vs. Warriors | Jan 08 | $66 | +$33 | +50% |
| Lakers vs. Spurs | Jan 08 | $50 | +$9 | +18% |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Jan 08 | $30 | +$24 | +81% |
| Wizards vs. 76ers | Jan 08 | $4 | −$2 | -50% |
| Clippers vs. Knicks | Jan 08 | $18 | +$6 | +33% |
| Nuggets vs. Celtics | Jan 08 | $30 | +$7 | +24% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? | Jan 06 | $20 | $0 | +1% |