Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:51:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa7ec…f512
crypto · 314 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$32 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$34
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses106 / 207
Open positions1
Markets (closed)313 / 314
History coverage16d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day77.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 313 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$565
7 days+$34
14 days+$34
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 40¢ 55¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+36%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $62 +$45 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $46 +$26 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$16 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$19 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$14 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$7 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$7 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$8 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$9 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $186 −$176 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $75 +$46 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$36 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$42 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $183 −$182 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $168 +$197 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$27 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$57 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$24 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $34 −$27 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$4 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $59 −$15 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$51 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$34 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$35 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$21 +85%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$32
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 308 +4.8% -5.2% 34% 33% -10.5%
≤30d 313 +5.9% -4.2% 34% 34% -11.2%
≤90d 313 +5.9% -4.2% 34% 34% -11.2%
all 313 +5.9% -4.2% 34% 34% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover77.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.2% 34% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -13.4% 33% -19.7%
15% -21.7% 32% -27.5%
20% -29.4% 30% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.81 · official $6.31 (match) · 1555 history records