trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +8.6% | -1.8% | 67% | 33% | +14.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 60% | 20% | +13.0% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 60% | 20% | +13.0% |
| all | 5 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 60% | 20% | +13.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.2% | 20% | +13.0% |
| 10% | -29.6% | 20% | +2.2% |
| 15% | -36.4% | 20% | -7.7% |
| 20% | -42.7% | 0% | -16.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 17, 2026? | No | 87¢ | 97¢ | $588 | $654 | +$66 (+11%) |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Yes | 85¢ | 78¢ | $527 | $486 | −$41 (-8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $98 | −$14 | -15% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 16 | $3,614 | +$1,285 | +36% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 14 | $1,328 | +$65 | +5% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 07 | $372 | +$16 | +4% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 1 above $305? | Jun 05 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |