Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T20:02:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
A7 0xa7d3…f1f4 crypto 886 markets active 2d ago coverage 117d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$15 (+0%) realized +$15 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate94%832W / 54L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day15.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$8
14 days−$4
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 -1.6% -11.0% 95% 3% -10.8%
≤30d 265 +0.4% -9.2% 97% 3% -9.1%
≤90d 577 +1.0% -8.6% 95% 4% -9.5%
all 886 +0.8% -8.8% 94% 5% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover15.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 5% -9.5%
10% -17.5% 0% -18.1%
15% -25.5% 0% -26.0%
20% -32.8% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
92% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$3 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.01 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

117d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses832 / 54
Open positions0
Markets (closed)886 / 886
History coverage117d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day15.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 886 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ET Jun 22 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12PM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12PM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 8AM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8AM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7AM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7AM ET Jun 22 $7 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3AM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3AM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3AM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2AM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2AM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1AM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 10PM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 9PM ET Jun 22 $8 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8PM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 7PM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7PM ET Jun 22 $13 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7PM ET Jun 22 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6PM ET Jun 21 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4PM ET Jun 21 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 4PM ET Jun 21 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 12PM ET Jun 21 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 12PM ET Jun 21 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12PM ET Jun 21 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8AM ET Jun 21 $8 −$7 -93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 8AM ET Jun 21 $8 −$8 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7AM ET Jun 21 $8 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 5AM ET Jun 21 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5AM ET Jun 21 $8 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11PM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11PM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET Jun 19 $13 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET Jun 19 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6PM ET Jun 18 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 4PM ET Jun 18 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3PM ET Jun 18 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3PM ET Jun 18 $8 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$1 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3PM ET Jun 18 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 1PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 1PM ET Jun 18 $8 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 12PM ET Jun 18 $8 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8AM ET Jun 18 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 7AM ET Jun 18 $8 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 7AM ET Jun 18 $8 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6AM ET Jun 18 $8 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 18, 3AM ET Jun 18 $8 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $0 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 12PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 8AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 7AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 7AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 3AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 3AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 3AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 2AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $8 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 10PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 9PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 8PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 7PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 7PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $8 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 4PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 21, 12PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 3d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 12PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 12PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2344 history records