Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:41:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

A7
0xa7cc…949e
crypto · 1678 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$716 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$737 · open +$21
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$200
Realized−$737
Unrealized+$21
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses1137 / 755
Est. fees paid−$23
Open positions50
Markets (closed)1892 / 1678
History coverage32d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day67.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 50 History 1892 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,059
7 days−$833
14 days−$599
30 days−$742
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Anubis Gaming 63¢ 100¢ $35 $55 +$21 (+59%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Eintracht Spandau 51¢ 100¢ $10 $20 +$10 (+96%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 70¢ 100¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+42%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Up 62¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+60%)
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 12? Down 88¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+14%)
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $240? No 81¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+23%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 79¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+27%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12? No 70¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+42%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 65¢ 97¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+49%)
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? No 31¢ 92¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+195%)
Will Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026? No 56¢ 88¢ $3 $4 +$2 (+56%)
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat? No 77¢ 82¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+7%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 32¢ 81¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+158%)
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No 77¢ 79¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 79¢ 78¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-1%)
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes 62¢ 74¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+20%)
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No 55¢ 74¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+34%)
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? Yes 60¢ 72¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+19%)
Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No 70¢ 71¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? No 56¢ 67¢ $3 $3 +$1 (+20%)
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? No 81¢ 64¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-20%)
Will the Republican Party win the NC-11 House seat? No 59¢ 64¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+9%)
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? No 45¢ 56¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+25%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 55¢ 53¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No 49¢ 50¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 10, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Jake Knapp finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Truist Championship? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Dalian Yingbo FC win on 2026-05-06? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 4? Jun 12 $4 −$8 -200%
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 17, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - April 6, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% −$74
sports 31% +$434
other 11% −$13
tech 1% +$14
weather 1% +$12
finance 1% +$11
world 0% +$4
politics 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $4 4m
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 72¢ $4 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 18¢ $2 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 77¢ $4 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 33¢ $2 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 58¢ $4 1h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 67¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A BUY Washed 70¢ $4 1h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 70¢ $4 1h
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 79¢ $4 2h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 83¢ $4 2h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 62¢ $5 2h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 62¢ $5 2h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 62¢ $2 2h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 62¢ $3 2h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 62¢ $5 2h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 66¢ $3 2h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Elena Rybakina 59¢ $3 2h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 62¢ $3 2h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 62¢ $2 2h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 62¢ $5 2h
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 66¢ $3 2h
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $360 on June 12? BUY Yes 72¢ $4 2h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 65¢ $3 4h
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 12? BUY Yes 72¢ $4 4h
Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 86¢ $4 4h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Inner Circle 60¢ $3 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 59¢ $3 5h
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Inner Circle 58¢ $3 5h
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Celine Naef 72¢ $4 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-24.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 558 -56.0% -60.1% 28% 28% -42.5%
≤30d 1617 -20.3% -27.9% 58% 34% -19.7%
≤90d 1892 -17.0% -24.9% 60% 37% -18.8%
all 1892 -17.0% -24.9% 60% 37% -18.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.9% 37% -18.8%
10% ← realistic here -32.1% 30% -26.5%
15% -38.6% 25% -33.6%
20% -44.7% 17% -40.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $200.15 · official $200.20 (match) · 3500 history records