trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +206.4% | +177.2% | 30% | 30% | +52.2% |
| ≤30d | 39 | +22.7% | +11.0% | 21% | 21% | -55.1% |
| ≤90d | 39 | +22.7% | +11.0% | 21% | 21% | -55.1% |
| all | 39 | +22.7% | +11.0% | 21% | 21% | -55.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +11.0% | 21% | -55.1% |
| 10% | +0.4% | 21% | -59.4% |
| 15% | -9.3% | 21% | -63.3% |
| 20% | -18.2% | 18% | -66.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 8¢ | $3,850 | $3,082 | −$768 (-20%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 5¢ | $3,350 | $2,087 | −$1,263 (-38%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $1,550 | $1,833 | +$283 (+18%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 3¢ | $300 | $862 | +$562 (+188%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $310 | $277 | −$32 (-10%) |
| Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $230 | $164 | −$65 (-28%) |
| Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 32¢ | $150 | $152 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $200 | $71 | −$129 (-64%) |
| Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Ghana? | Jun 23 | $9 | +$191 | +2060% |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $21 | +$133 | +650% |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 23 | $61 | −$60 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 1 DR Congo? | Jun 23 | $23 | −$22 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Panama 1 - 3 Croatia? | Jun 23 | $40 | −$39 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Panama 0 - 3 Croatia? | Jun 23 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 Croatia? | Jun 23 | $36 | −$35 | -98% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $40 | +$45 | +114% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Austria? | Jun 22 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Sweden? | Jun 20 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Jun 13 | $126 | −$124 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 13 | $26 | −$25 | -98% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $223 | −$220 | -99% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $2,588 | −$2,540 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? AND Will United | Jun 13 | $29 | +$139 | +484% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $131 | +$55 | +42% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $20 | +$91 | +442% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $25 | +$36 | +140% |
| Spread: Mexico (-2.5) | Jun 11 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) | Jun 10 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 10 | $793 | −$781 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-14.5) | Jun 09 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-10.5) | Jun 09 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) | Jun 09 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 09 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $1,891 | +$2,143 | +113% |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) | Jun 08 | $37 | −$36 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 08 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-19.5) | Jun 08 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: Spurs (-17.5) | Jun 08 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Jun 08 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | Jun 07 | $41 | −$40 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $3,157 | −$3,125 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-5.5) | Jun 05 | $16 | −$16 | -99% |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) | Jun 05 | $87 | −$85 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | Jun 05 | $76 | −$75 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-6.5) | Jun 05 | $152 | −$150 | -98% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 05 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |